Fiorentina 1:1 Milan: xG & match report · Serie A

Sunday, 11/01/2026 at 15:00

Full time

Match report · Serie A

Fiorentina Home 1.90 xG · 20 shots

Milan Away 1.93 xG · 13 shots

11 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

66' Pietro Comuzzo Fiorentina · 0.21 xG chance 1–0
90' Christopher Nkunku Milan · 0.21 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Fiorentina Milan

Shots: 20; 13
On target: 7; 3
Inside the box: 16; 9
xG per shot: 0.09; 0.12
Open play xG: 1.41; 1.35
Set-piece xG: 0.47; 0.21
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.90 for Fiorentina and 1.51 for Milan.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

33 shots · 3.44 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Fiorentina
Milan
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Fiorentina

1.84 xG created 1.17 xGA

L 1.21 created, 1.00 conceded against Sassuolo
L 1.71 created, 0.94 conceded against Hellas Verona
W 3.20 created, 0.64 conceded against Udinese
L 1.23 created, 0.95 conceded against Parma
W 2.06 created, 0.73 conceded against Cremonese
D 1.64 created, 2.74 conceded against Lazio

Milan

1.70 xG created 0.81 xGA

W 1.47 created, 0.68 conceded against Lazio
W 1.67 created, 1.03 conceded against Torino
D 1.45 created, 1.07 conceded against Sassuolo
W 2.43 created, 0.39 conceded against Hellas Verona
W 0.70 created, 0.38 conceded against Cagliari
D 2.45 created, 1.32 conceded against Genoa

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Fiorentina: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Milan 2:1 Fiorentina 19/10/2025 xG 1.98 – 1.08

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.