Hellas Verona 2:3 Bologna: xG & match report · Serie A

Thursday, 15/01/2026 at 18:30

Full time

Match report · Serie A

Hellas Verona Home 1.20 xG · 16 shots

Bologna Away 0.79 xG · 14 shots

23 The result went against the chances

Goals

13' Gift Orban Hellas Verona · 0.10 xG chance 1–0
21' Riccardo Orsolini Bologna · 0.02 xG chance 1–1
29' Jens Odgaard Bologna · 0.09 xG chance 1–2
44' Santiago Castro Bologna · 0.07 xG chance 1–3
71' Remo Freuler (o.g.) Hellas Verona · 0.14 xG chance 2–3

The shots behind it

Hellas Verona Bologna

Shots: 16; 14
On target: 6; 5
Inside the box: 10; 6
xG per shot: 0.09; 0.06
Open play xG: 0.90; 0.46
Set-piece xG: 0.49; 0.33
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.25 for Hellas Verona.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

30 shots · 2.18 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Hellas Verona
Bologna
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Hellas Verona

0.80 xG created 1.55 xGA

W 0.99 created, 1.47 conceded against Atalanta
W 0.94 created, 1.71 conceded against Fiorentina
L 0.39 created, 2.43 conceded against Milan
L 0.14 created, 1.55 conceded against Torino
D 1.82 created, 1.22 conceded against Napoli
L 0.53 created, 0.90 conceded against Lazio

Bologna

0.94 xG created 1.61 xGA

D 1.11 created, 1.21 conceded against Lazio
L 0.55 created, 1.68 conceded against Juventus
D 0.88 created, 1.62 conceded against Sassuolo
L 0.85 created, 2.93 conceded against Inter
L 1.10 created, 1.38 conceded against Atalanta
D 1.15 created, 0.84 conceded against Como

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.