Inter 3:2 Juventus: xG & match report · Serie A

Saturday, 14/02/2026 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Serie A

Inter Home 1.88 xG · 22 shots

Juventus Away 0.92 xG · 10 shots

32 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

17' Andrea Cambiaso (o.g.) Inter · 0.10 xG chance 1–0
26' Andrea Cambiaso Juventus · 0.39 xG chance 1–1
76' Francesco Pio Esposito Inter · 0.19 xG chance 2–1
83' Manuel Locatelli Juventus · 0.07 xG chance 2–2
90' Piotr Zieliński Inter · 0.05 xG chance 3–2

The shots behind it

Inter Juventus

Shots: 22; 10
On target: 10; 8
Inside the box: 11; 8
xG per shot: 0.09; 0.10
Open play xG: 1.78; 0.90
Set-piece xG: 0.23; 0.05
Penalties: —; —

Inter's shots add up to 2.01 xG and Juventus's to 0.95; the published figures are 1.88 and 0.92.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

32 shots · 2.96 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Inter
Juventus
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Inter

2.30 xG created 0.53 xGA

D 1.45 created, 0.74 conceded against Napoli
W 1.83 created, 0.48 conceded against Lecce
W 1.59 created, 0.22 conceded against Udinese
W 4.99 created, 0.34 conceded against Pisa
W 1.34 created, 0.60 conceded against Cremonese
W 2.59 created, 0.78 conceded against Sassuolo

Juventus

2.53 xG created 0.59 xGA

W 2.57 created, 0.21 conceded against Sassuolo
W 3.40 created, 0.90 conceded against Cremonese
L 1.35 created, 0.11 conceded against Cagliari
W 1.09 created, 0.73 conceded against Napoli
W 4.03 created, 0.55 conceded against Parma
D 2.73 created, 1.06 conceded against Lazio

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Inter: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Juventus 4:3 Inter 13/09/2025 xG 0.68 – 0.96

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.