Milan 2026/2027 · Serie A

Form · last 5

W D D W W

+0.40 xGD / match

Expected goals 7.91 xG 5.90 xGA 10 scored · 4 conceded

Team strength 51 / 99 #10 in Serie A League avg: 50

Milan right now

Milan have made a strong start and sit 5th in Serie A. A +2.01 xG difference backs up 11 points from 5 matches, which suggests the results rest on strong underlying performances. They have outscored their 7.91 xG by 2.09, while conceding 1.90 fewer than the 5.90 xG against them. They have taken 2.84 more points than their chances were worth (8.16), so the table flatters them.

How Milan compares

Attack #7 of 20 Defence #5 of 20 xG difference #6 of 20

Chance quality #6 of 20

Next match Serie A · Sun 11/10 18:00

Away Sassuolo

1.36 Projected expected goals 1.19

Model probability

Sassuolo: 39%
Draw: 31%
Milan: 30%

Data coverage: Full

Last result Serie A · Sun 20/09

Home Lecce

3:0 Win

Expected goals: 2.19 – 0.21
xG difference: +1.98

A win the chances back up

Every result →

Performance

Goals vs xG — match by match

Bars are goals scored. Lines are the xG created and conceded in each match.

xG created xGA conceded Goals

The season so far 5 matches, as they add up +2.01 xG difference +0.40 xGD / match

Every match behind the chart above: Milan's expected goals for and against, and the goals it scored.
Date	Opponent	Venue	Score	Expected goals	Expected goals conceded	xG difference	Goals scored
Sun 23/08	Torino	Away	2:1	2.15	1.29	+0.86	2
Fri 28/08	Venezia	Home	2:0	2.21	0.80	+1.41	2
Sun 06/09	Juventus	Away	1:1	0.11	1.59	-1.48	1
Sat 12/09	Lazio	Away	2:2	1.25	2.01	-0.76	2
Sun 20/09	Lecce	Home	3:0	2.19	0.21	+1.98	3
The season so far				7.91	5.90		10