Serie A 2026/2027
Full coverage: shot-by-shot xG and match-by-match player figures.
- Matches
- 50 / 380
- 13% complete
- Goals
- 145
- 2.90 per match
- Next match
- Genoa v Fiorentina
League leaders
-
League leader
Roma
ROM
13 pts
Level on points with 2 other clubs
-
Best attack
Inter
INT
2.90 xG per match
14.49 xG in 5 matches
-
Best defence
Juventus
JUV
0.48 xGA per match
2.39 xGA in 5 matches
-
Strongest underlying
Inter
INT
+1.55 xGD per match
11.05 xPts · 3rd on xPts
What the Serie A numbers say
3 clubs are level at the top on 13 points. Inter have the strongest underlying numbers so far, with an xG difference of +1.55 per match. Juventus have conceded the least so far, allowing 0.48 xGA per match. Cagliari have taken 12 points from 5.54 xPts, the widest gap above expected in the league so far.
Table
Where the table and the chances disagree
Actual vs xPts position
Higher in the table than on xPts
- Cagliari CAG 4th · 13th on xPts 9 above xPts rank
- Frosinone FRO 6th · 15th on xPts 9 above xPts rank
- Lecce LEC 12th · 20th on xPts 8 above xPts rank
Lower in the table than on xPts
- Monza MON 16th · 4th on xPts 12 below xPts rank
- Fiorentina FIO 17th · 5th on xPts 12 below xPts rank
- Bologna BOL 18th · 10th on xPts 8 below xPts rank
Points and goals against the chances
-
Most points above xPts
Actual points minus expected points based on match xG.
Cagliari
CAG
+6.46
12 pts from 5.54 xPts
-
Most points below xPts
Actual points minus expected points based on match xG.
Bologna
BOL
−5.76
2 pts from 7.76 xPts
-
Most goals above xG
Goals scored minus the xG of the chances taken.
Milan
MIL
+2.09
10 goals from 7.91 xG
-
Fewest conceded vs xGA
Goals conceded minus the xG of the chances allowed.
Cagliari
CAG
−6.79
2 conceded from 8.79 xGA
- Better than the chances
- Worse than the chances
A gap can come from finishing, goalkeeping, game state or chance. xG and xPts are model estimates, not the result a team deserved.
Attack and defence
Strong and weak mean above or below the league average, the dashed lines. Fewer xGA per match sits higher, so top-right is strong at both ends.Juventus
P 5 · Pts 10 · 7th
xG/match 1.55 · xGA/match 0.48 · xGD/match +1.07
xPts 11.14
Open JuventusSassuolo
P 5 · Pts 7 · 10th
xG/match 1.73 · xGA/match 1.33 · xGD/match +0.41
xPts 8.14
Open SassuoloFiorentina
P 5 · Pts 4 · 17th
xG/match 1.72 · xGA/match 1.33 · xGD/match +0.39
xPts 8.47
Open FiorentinaFrosinone
P 5 · Pts 10 · 6th
xG/match 1.51 · xGA/match 2.10 · xGD/match −0.59
xPts 4.92
Open FrosinoneCagliari
P 5 · Pts 12 · 4th
xG/match 1.09 · xGA/match 1.76 · xGD/match −0.66
xPts 5.54
Open CagliariAtalanta
P 5 · Pts 6 · 11th
xG/match 0.81 · xGA/match 1.87 · xGD/match −1.06
xPts 3.34
Open Atalanta| Club | xG/match | xGA/match | xGD/match |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inter INT | 2.90 | 1.34 | +1.55 |
| Roma ROM | 2.56 | 1.11 | +1.45 |
| Juventus JUV | 1.55 | 0.48 | +1.07 |
| Monza MON | 1.79 | 1.06 | +0.73 |
| Sassuolo SAS | 1.73 | 1.33 | +0.41 |
| Milan MIL | 1.58 | 1.18 | +0.40 |
| Fiorentina FIO | 1.72 | 1.33 | +0.39 |
| Como COM | 1.89 | 1.53 | +0.36 |
| Lazio LAZ | 1.55 | 1.24 | +0.30 |
| Bologna BOL | 1.18 | 0.95 | +0.24 |
| Napoli NAP | 1.44 | 1.40 | +0.03 |
| Genoa GEN | 0.89 | 1.33 | −0.44 |
| Udinese UDI | 1.40 | 1.84 | −0.44 |
| Frosinone FRO | 1.51 | 2.10 | −0.59 |
| Torino TOR | 1.03 | 1.69 | −0.66 |
| Cagliari CAG | 1.09 | 1.76 | −0.66 |
| Venezia VEN | 1.49 | 2.35 | −0.87 |
| Parma PAR | 0.68 | 1.58 | −0.90 |
| Atalanta ATA | 0.81 | 1.87 | −1.06 |
| Lecce LEC | 1.06 | 2.38 | −1.32 |
- Top 3 in the table
- Other clubs
- Above average at both ends
- Below average at both ends
All xG. Hover, focus or tap a dot for its figures.
Player leaders
Goals
- 1 Donyell Malen 6 ROM 4.42 xG
- 2 Lautaro Martínez 4 INT 4.08 xG
- 2 Gustavo Varela 4 MON 2.07 xG
xG
- 1 Donyell Malen 4.42 ROM 6 goals
- 2 Lautaro Martínez 4.08 INT 4 goals
- 3 Daniel Maldini 2.47 CAG 3 goals
xA
- 1 Paulo Dybala 3.24 ROM 4 assists
- 2 Federico Dimarco 1.50 INT 1 assists
- 3 Andy Diouf 1.43 INT 3 assists
xGI
- 1 Paulo Dybala 4.93 ROM 1.09 per 90
- 2 Donyell Malen 4.66 ROM 1.22 per 90
- 3 Lautaro Martínez 4.29 INT 1.20 per 90
Next fixtures
- Home
- Draw
- Away
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Projected xG 1.05 – 1.14
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Projected xG 2.29 – 0.75
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Projected xG 1.82 – 1.13
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Projected xG 1.38 – 1.32
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Projected xG 0.88 – 1.27
Latest results
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xG 2.19 – 0.21 Followed the xG
-
xG 1.31 – 0.60 Followed the xG
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xG 0.53 – 0.70 Level on xG
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xG 2.18 – 2.12 Level on xG
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Fiorentina 1–1 Napoli
xG 1.14 – 1.40 Level on xG