Milan 0:3 Udinese: xG & match report · Serie A

Saturday, 11/04/2026 at 18:00

Full time

Match report · Serie A

Milan Home 1.78 xG · 20 shots

Udinese Away 1.19 xG · 13 shots

03 The result went against the chances

Goals

27' Davide Bartesaghi (o.g.) Udinese · 0.10 xG chance 0–1
37' Jürgen Ekkelenkamp Udinese · 0.40 xG chance 0–2
71' Arthur Atta Udinese · 0.06 xG chance 0–3

The shots behind it

Milan Udinese

Shots: 20; 13
On target: 3; 7
Inside the box: 14; 8
xG per shot: 0.08; 0.10
Open play xG: 1.44; 1.34
Set-piece xG: 0.20; 0.00
Penalties: —; —

Milan's shots add up to 1.64 xG and Udinese's to 1.34; the published figures are 1.78 and 1.19.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

33 shots · 2.98 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Milan
Udinese
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Milan

1.45 xG created 1.01 xGA

L 1.33 created, 0.46 conceded against Parma
W 3.51 created, 0.99 conceded against Cremonese
W 0.77 created, 1.24 conceded against Inter
L 1.19 created, 0.41 conceded against Lazio
W 1.43 created, 2.22 conceded against Torino
L 0.47 created, 0.75 conceded against Napoli

Udinese

0.97 xG created 1.50 xGA

L 0.56 created, 1.27 conceded against Bologna
W 1.65 created, 0.66 conceded against Fiorentina
D 0.77 created, 2.00 conceded against Atalanta
L 0.66 created, 3.08 conceded against Juventus
W 1.19 created, 1.36 conceded against Genoa
D 0.96 created, 0.60 conceded against Como

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Milan: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Udinese 0:3 Milan 20/09/2025 xG 0.34 – 1.44

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.