xgEdge

NPS Volos's recorded results for 2026/2027, newest first, with the available xG behind each score. Compare outcomes with the chances created and conceded, then open a match for more detail.

Showing 3 of 3 matching results

5 played this season

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Results

Wins – draws – losses (W–D–L)
0 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss

2 pts 3–4 goals −1 GD

Chances

Provider xG / xGA
2.99 – 4.02
1.00 – 1.34 per match
xGD
-1.03
-0.34 per match
xG record
1 with the chances, 0 with even chances, 2 against them

Small sample: 3 matches.

Comparable xG: 3 of 3 completed results.

Points vs xPts Model

2 pts 3.4 xPts

−1.4 vs xPts

Small sample: 3 matches.

Matched xPts: 3 of 3 selected results.

Model · How xPts works →

Match points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before deductions or sanctions.

Points vs xPts uses only matches with available xPts on both sides of the comparison.

What the results say

Season · All competitions · Home

NPS Volos's winless run follows chances that have gone against them at both ends. They out-created the opponent in 1 of 3 matches, for −1.03 xG difference overall on 2.99–4.02. Their points total of 2 sits 1.4 below the model's 3.4 xPts, so the chances have clearly outrun the results.

Points minus xPts, match by match

Over these 3 results NPS Volos are 1.38 points below their xPts.

Points
2
xPts
3.38
Gap
-1.38
Sat 29/08 Sat 05/09 Sun 20/09 -2 -1 0 +1 -1.00 -0.40 -1.38 -1.00 +0.60 -0.98 Running gap points − xPts Each match points − xPts
NPS Volos: Points vs xPts, the gap after every selected result
Date Opponent Points xPts Match gap Running gap
Sat 29/08 Iraklis 1908 1 2.00 -1.00 -1.00
Sat 05/09 Olympiacos FC 1 0.40 +0.60 -0.40
Sun 20/09 AEK Athens 0 0.98 -0.98 -1.38

Scores and xG

NPS Volos first

  • Home Super League Greece Loss backed by the chances

    xG 1.39

    xGA 1.92

    xGD -0.53

    1:2 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · AEK Athens, Sun 20/09

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.99
    Points minus xPts
    -0.99

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Super League Greece Draw against the chances

    xG 0.41

    xGA 1.62

    xGD -1.21

    1:1 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Olympiacos FC, Sat 05/09

    The match was drawn although the team recorded less xG. The outcome was stronger than that chance difference suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    1
    Post-match model xPts
    0.40
    Points minus xPts
    +0.60

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Super League Greece Draw against the chances

    xG 1.19

    xGA 0.48

    xGD +0.71

    1:1 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Iraklis 1908, Sat 29/08

    The match was drawn although the team recorded a positive xG difference. The outcome was weaker than that chance advantage suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    1
    Post-match model xPts
    2.00
    Points minus xPts
    -1.00

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →

Reading these results

xG is the provider's estimate of chances created; xGA is the opponent's xG. xGD is the difference. Labels compare the recorded outcome with those chances; they are interpretations, not judgments about fairness.

xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

How each figure on this page is read

Every xG bar is drawn on one fixed scale: full width is 7.20 xG, the same on every card and in every window, so two cards can be compared by eye. A rarer match above that is capped with a hatched end, and the figure beside the bar still gives its value.

An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

Goal difference minus xGD says how far a scoreline finished from the chances behind it: a 4:2 won off level chances ran nearly two goals ahead of them. The two callouts under the list name the match that ran furthest each way, and a direction with no result a full goal clear of the chances gets no card rather than a card built from a rounding.

Windows count back from the most recent recorded match, and only matches attached to this club record are included. Home and away mean the provider-designated side, not a verified physical venue. Scores describe recorded play, not shootout advancement. Unverified periods receive no chance comparison.

How the model works →