What Fenerbahçe have left to play in Süper Lig 2026/2027, soonest first. Open a match for the projection behind it and the prices standing against it.
Fixture outlook
3 matches ahead in Süper Lig
Every club's remaining calendar is a different length, so there is nothing of equal length to place the whole of this one against.
What the fixtures say
The run of 3 matches ahead of Fenerbahçe in Süper Lig rates 3.0 of 5 for difficulty, which the scale calls Balanced. 1 of them rates easier than balanced, and 1 of them rates harder than balanced. The model expects 1.47 projected xG a match from them and 4.3 of the 9 points the priced fixtures could return. The hardest of them is Galatasaray away, banded 4 of 5 — Difficult, against an attack rated 82/99 and a defence rated 79/99.
The run at a glance
Alanyaspor home Sat 17/10
Projected xG 1.75 – 0.88 Fenerbahçe win 57%
Galatasaray away Mon 26/10
Projected xG 1.15 – 1.80 Fenerbahçe win 21%
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Open the match page for Çaykur Rizespor
Sat 10/10 Away Çaykur Rizespor Süper Lig
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 56/99, defence 36/99Projected xG 1.50 – 1.40 Projected xPts 1.43- Çaykur Rizespor
- 33%
- Draw
- 29%
- Fenerbahçe
- 38%
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Open the match page for Alanyaspor
Sat 17/10 Home Alanyaspor Süper Lig
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 37/99, defence 59/99Projected xG 1.75 – 0.88 Projected xPts 1.99- Fenerbahçe
- 57%
- Draw
- 27%
- Alanyaspor
- 16%
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Open the match page for Galatasaray
Mon 26/10 Away Galatasaray Süper Lig
4 Difficult Opponent: attack 82/99, defence 79/99Projected xG 1.15 – 1.80 Projected xPts 0.91- Galatasaray
- 52%
- Draw
- 27%
- Fenerbahçe
- 21%
Süper Lig publishes only its next few rounds, so the list stops here. The rest of the season is added as the league schedules it.
The band is how hard the model rates each match, from 1 (easiest) to 5 (hardest). Opponent attack and defence use the same 1–99 scale as Team Strength, where 50 is the average side in Süper Lig.
Fixture difficulty in Süper Lig
Reads each matchup for Fenerbahçe: the band is cut from the model's chances of Fenerbahçe winning and losing the match, so Fenerbahçe's own strength and home advantage are in it.
Every club's remaining calendar is a different length, so there is nothing of equal length to place the whole of this one against.
Next 3 opponents
+0.18 xG vs league average
League rank unavailable. Only 3 upcoming league fixtures are currently scheduled.
Reads the opponents alone, whoever plays them: each one's fitted xG margin against Süper Lig's average club, with no venue and nothing of Fenerbahçe's own strength in it.
Opponents behind the figure
Next 3
+0.18 xG vs league average · over 3 fixtures
- Çaykur Rizespor Away −0.02
- Alanyaspor Home −0.10
- Galatasaray Away +0.67
About these numbers
What is published, what is worked out, and what is the model's
Published by the fixtures feed and stored as it arrives: the kickoff time, the two clubs, the competition, and whether a match is still scheduled.
Worked out here from stored figures: each opponent's attack and defence on a 1–99 scale, where 50 is the average side in Süper Lig and a higher score is a stronger side at both ends; the difficulty band, cut from the model's chances of winning and losing each fixture; and everything the outlook, the strip and the fixture difficulty block add up from the rows — the run's mean band, its averages and totals, the counts they were taken over, the placings and the competition's average.
Worked out here from the model's ratings alone: the Upcoming opponent strength block, the mean of the next 5 opponents' fitted xG margins against the league's average club, whoever plays them, and its rank among the competition's clubs.
The model's output, for matches nobody has played yet: projected xG and xGA, the chances of a win, a draw and a loss, and xPts.
Projected xG is what the model expects a side to create in a match still to come. It is not the xG on the Results page, which measures the chances a side actually had.
xPts is what those three chances are worth in points: 3 times the chance of a win plus the chance of a draw, so 3 is the most a single fixture can be worth.
The difficulty band runs from 1, the most favourable fixture, to 5, the least favourable — so the lower a run's difficulty, the kinder the run.