Fenerbahçe's attacking and defensive expected goals in Süper Lig 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.
Fenerbahçe xG and xGA per match
Every match ↓| Rank | Club | xG per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Galatasaray | 2.36 |
| #2 | Fenerbahçe | 2.32 |
| #3 | Göztepe | 1.99 |
| #4 | Amed Sportif Faaliyetler | 1.95 |
| #5 | Beşiktaş | 1.85 |
| #6 | Trabzonspor | 1.71 |
| #7 | Başakşehir FK | 1.63 |
| #8 | Çaykur Rizespor | 1.43 |
| #9 | Çorum FK | 1.30 |
| #10 | Alanyaspor | 1.24 |
| #11 | Konyaspor | 1.24 |
| #12 | Samsunspor | 1.15 |
| #13 | Kasımpaşa | 1.14 |
| #14 | Gaziantep FK | 1.11 |
| #15 | Kocaelispor | 1.04 |
| #16 | Gençlerbirliği | 1.01 |
| #17 | Eyüpspor | 0.82 |
| #18 | Erzurumspor FK | 0.67 |
- League avg
- 1.44
- Total
- 13.89 6 matches
| Rank | Club | xGA per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Beşiktaş | 0.66 |
| #2 | Amed Sportif Faaliyetler | 0.99 |
| #3 | Kasımpaşa | 1.04 |
| #4 | Galatasaray | 1.12 |
| #5 | Fenerbahçe | 1.13 |
| #6 | Konyaspor | 1.22 |
| #7 | Alanyaspor | 1.28 |
| #8 | Çaykur Rizespor | 1.31 |
| #9 | Kocaelispor | 1.41 |
| #10 | Gaziantep FK | 1.47 |
| #11 | Samsunspor | 1.53 |
| =12 | Trabzonspor | 1.56 |
| =12 | Çorum FK | 1.56 |
| #14 | Erzurumspor FK | 1.59 |
| #15 | Başakşehir FK | 1.88 |
| #16 | Göztepe | 1.92 |
| #17 | Eyüpspor | 2.15 |
| #18 | Gençlerbirliği | 2.16 |
- League avg
- 1.44
- Total
- 6.76 6 matches
| Rank | Club | xGD per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Galatasaray | +1.24 |
| #2 | Beşiktaş | +1.19 |
| #3 | Fenerbahçe | +1.19 |
| #4 | Amed Sportif Faaliyetler | +0.96 |
| #5 | Trabzonspor | +0.16 |
| #6 | Çaykur Rizespor | +0.11 |
| #7 | Kasımpaşa | +0.10 |
| #8 | Göztepe | +0.07 |
| #9 | Konyaspor | +0.02 |
| #10 | Alanyaspor | -0.04 |
| #11 | Başakşehir FK | -0.25 |
| #12 | Çorum FK | -0.25 |
| #13 | Gaziantep FK | -0.36 |
| #14 | Kocaelispor | -0.37 |
| #15 | Samsunspor | -0.37 |
| #16 | Erzurumspor FK | -0.92 |
| #17 | Gençlerbirliği | -1.15 |
| #18 | Eyüpspor | -1.32 |
- League avg
- 0.00
- Total
- +7.13 6 matches
| Rank | Club | xPts per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Beşiktaş | 2.23 |
| #2 | Galatasaray | 2.12 |
| #3 | Fenerbahçe | 1.97 |
| #4 | Amed Sportif Faaliyetler | 1.84 |
| #5 | Çaykur Rizespor | 1.54 |
| #6 | Göztepe | 1.47 |
| #7 | Trabzonspor | 1.45 |
| #8 | Başakşehir FK | 1.40 |
| #9 | Kasımpaşa | 1.39 |
| #10 | Konyaspor | 1.38 |
| #11 | Çorum FK | 1.36 |
| #12 | Alanyaspor | 1.29 |
| #13 | Kocaelispor | 1.13 |
| #14 | Gaziantep FK | 1.11 |
| #15 | Samsunspor | 1.02 |
| #16 | Erzurumspor FK | 0.82 |
| #17 | Gençlerbirliği | 0.72 |
| #18 | Eyüpspor | 0.71 |
- League avg
- 1.39
- Total
- 11.83 vs 10 actual pts
Early-season figures: after 6 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.
What the xG says
Fenerbahçe's underlying numbers are among the best in Süper Lig. They rank #3 for xG difference at +1.19 per match, driven by both elite shot volume and the league's best chance quality. Their 16 goals are 2.11 above 13.89 xG, while 10 points are 1.83 below 11.83 xPts. After only 6 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.
Actual vs expected
Select a row to chart it across the season.
Goals minus xG, match by match
Fenerbahçe are 2.11 goals above their xG after 6 matches.
- Goals
- 16
- xG
- 13.89
- Gap
- +2.11
- This match
- Match gap
- Running gap
| Date | Opponent | Goals | xG | Match gap | Running gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 15/08 | Gençlerbirliği | 1 | 2.90 | -1.90 | -1.90 |
| Sat 22/08 | Konyaspor | 4 | 2.36 | +1.64 | -0.26 |
| Sun 30/08 | Samsunspor | 2 | 1.56 | +0.44 | +0.18 |
| Sat 05/09 | Beşiktaş | 1 | 0.59 | +0.41 | +0.59 |
| Mon 14/09 | Gaziantep FK | 0 | 1.34 | -1.34 | -0.75 |
| Sun 20/09 | Eyüpspor | 8 | 5.14 | +2.86 | +2.11 |
Fenerbahçe xG trend
Current form +1.05 npxGD per match
The last 6 matches with xG.
Out-created the opponent in 4 of 6 matches. The worst was against Beşiktaş on Sat 05/09 (-1.17).
- npxG · last 6
- 2.16
- npxGA · last 6
- 1.11
- npxG
- npxGA
- npxGD
- Avg so far
| Date | Opponent | npxG | npxGA | npxGD | Avg so far |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 15/08 | Gençlerbirliği | 3.39 | 1.18 | +2.21 | +2.21 |
| Sat 22/08 | Konyaspor | 1.90 | 2.00 | -0.10 | +1.06 |
| Sun 30/08 | Samsunspor | 1.58 | 0.46 | +1.12 | +1.08 |
| Sat 05/09 | Beşiktaş | 0.49 | 1.66 | -1.17 | +0.52 |
| Mon 14/09 | Gaziantep FK | 1.31 | 0.57 | +0.74 | +0.56 |
| Sun 20/09 | Eyüpspor | 4.30 | 0.79 | +3.51 | +1.05 |
Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 2.16 npxG and 1.11 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.
Strength of schedule
- Season so far
- number 17 hardest of 18 in Süper Lig
- −0.12 xG vs league average
- Over 6 league matches
- Last 5
- tied number 16 hardest of 18 in Süper Lig
- −0.07 xG vs league average
- Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures
Season so far
−0.12 xG vs league average · over 6 matches · number 17 hardest of 18
- Eyüpspor Home −0.42
- Gaziantep FK Away −0.18
- Beşiktaş Home +0.56
- Samsunspor Away −0.22
- Konyaspor Home −0.08
- Gençlerbirliği Away −0.40
Last 5
−0.07 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · tied number 16 hardest of 18
- Eyüpspor Home −0.42
- Gaziantep FK Away −0.18
- Beşiktaş Home +0.56
- Samsunspor Away −0.22
- Konyaspor Home −0.08
Fenerbahçe shots and chance quality
High volume, high quality. Fenerbahçe take 18.3 shots a match (league 14.1) at 0.12 npxG a shot (league 0.09), #2 in Süper Lig for volume and #1 for quality. 75% of their shots come from inside the box (league 62%), and set pieces produce 34% of their npxG (league 25%).
Attack
| Rank | Club | shots per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Galatasaray | 22.7 |
| #2 | Fenerbahçe | 18.3 |
| #3 | Beşiktaş | 17.8 |
| #4 | Göztepe | 17.2 |
| #5 | Çaykur Rizespor | 15.5 |
| #6 | Amed Sportif Faaliyetler | 14.7 |
| #7 | Trabzonspor | 14.2 |
| #8 | Samsunspor | 13.2 |
| =9 | Başakşehir FK | 13.0 |
| =9 | Eyüpspor | 13.0 |
| =9 | Gaziantep FK | 13.0 |
| =9 | Çorum FK | 13.0 |
| #13 | Kocaelispor | 12.3 |
| #14 | Gençlerbirliği | 12.0 |
| #15 | Kasımpaşa | 11.8 |
| #16 | Konyaspor | 11.7 |
| #17 | Alanyaspor | 10.8 |
| #18 | Erzurumspor FK | 9.0 |
- League avg
- 14.1
- Total
- 110 shots from 6 matches
| Rank | Club | npxG per shot |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Fenerbahçe | 0.12 |
| #2 | Amed Sportif Faaliyetler | 0.12 |
| #3 | Alanyaspor | 0.11 |
| #4 | Trabzonspor | 0.11 |
| #5 | Konyaspor | 0.10 |
| #6 | Galatasaray | 0.10 |
| #7 | Başakşehir FK | 0.09 |
| #8 | Beşiktaş | 0.09 |
| #9 | Çorum FK | 0.08 |
| #10 | Gençlerbirliği | 0.08 |
| #11 | Kasımpaşa | 0.08 |
| #12 | Erzurumspor FK | 0.08 |
| #13 | Çaykur Rizespor | 0.08 |
| #14 | Göztepe | 0.08 |
| #15 | Kocaelispor | 0.08 |
| #16 | Gaziantep FK | 0.07 |
| #17 | Samsunspor | 0.06 |
| #18 | Eyüpspor | 0.06 |
- League avg
- 0.09
- Total
- 12.97 npxG from 110 shots
Defence
| Rank | Club | shots per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Beşiktaş | 8.5 |
| #2 | Galatasaray | 10.0 |
| #3 | Amed Sportif Faaliyetler | 11.0 |
| #4 | Fenerbahçe | 12.5 |
| #5 | Trabzonspor | 12.7 |
| =6 | Başakşehir FK | 13.5 |
| =6 | Kasımpaşa | 13.5 |
| #8 | Erzurumspor FK | 13.7 |
| #9 | Alanyaspor | 14.2 |
| #10 | Gaziantep FK | 14.3 |
| #11 | Eyüpspor | 14.5 |
| #12 | Çaykur Rizespor | 14.8 |
| #13 | Konyaspor | 15.0 |
| #14 | Samsunspor | 15.3 |
| #15 | Çorum FK | 16.2 |
| #16 | Kocaelispor | 17.2 |
| =17 | Gençlerbirliği | 18.2 |
| =17 | Göztepe | 18.2 |
- League avg
- 14.1
- Total
- 75 shots allowed from 6 matches
| Rank | Club | npxGA per shot |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Konyaspor | 0.07 |
| #2 | Beşiktaş | 0.07 |
| #3 | Kasımpaşa | 0.07 |
| #4 | Gaziantep FK | 0.08 |
| #5 | Alanyaspor | 0.08 |
| #6 | Amed Sportif Faaliyetler | 0.08 |
| #7 | Göztepe | 0.08 |
| #8 | Çaykur Rizespor | 0.08 |
| #9 | Kocaelispor | 0.08 |
| #10 | Çorum FK | 0.08 |
| #11 | Fenerbahçe | 0.09 |
| #12 | Trabzonspor | 0.09 |
| #13 | Samsunspor | 0.09 |
| #14 | Galatasaray | 0.10 |
| #15 | Gençlerbirliği | 0.10 |
| #16 | Erzurumspor FK | 0.11 |
| #17 | Eyüpspor | 0.12 |
| #18 | Başakşehir FK | 0.13 |
- League avg
- 0.09
- Total
- 6.66 npxGA from 75 shots
Shot profile
75% inside the box
League avg 62%
From 83 of 110 shots over 6 matches
Early-season figure: after 6 matches, the share can move quickly.
52% allowed inside the box
League avg 62%
From 39 of 75 shots allowed over 6 matches
Early-season figure: after 6 matches, the share can move quickly.
66% open play · 34% set pieces
League avg 25% set pieces
From 4.3 of 12.8 npxG over 6 matches
Early-season figure: after 6 matches, the share can move quickly.
88% open play · 12% set pieces
League avg 25% set pieces
From 0.8 of 6.6 npxG allowed over 6 matches
Early-season figure: after 6 matches, the share can move quickly.
Fenerbahçe home and away xG
| Measure | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| xG / match | 2.70 | 1.93 |
| xGA / match | 1.54 | 0.71 |
| xGD / match | +1.16 | +1.22 |
| xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → | 1.65 | 2.29 |
Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.
Every Fenerbahçe match by xG
This season
- Matches
- 6
- xG / match
- 2.32
- xGA / match
- 1.13
- xGD / match
- +1.19
- Points
- 10 of 18
- Sun 20/09 Eyüpspor H Best underlying xG 5.14 P xGA 0.72 xGD +4.42 xPts 2.96
- Mon 14/09 Gaziantep FK A xG 1.34 xGA 0.49 xGD +0.85 xPts 2.13
- Sat 05/09 Beşiktaş H Weakest underlying xG 0.59 xGA 1.75 xGD -1.16 xPts 0.47
- Sun 30/08 Samsunspor A xG 1.56 xGA 0.46 xGD +1.10 xPts 2.30
- Sat 22/08 Konyaspor H xG 2.36 xGA 2.15 xGD +0.21 xPts 1.53
- Sat 15/08 Gençlerbirliği A Against the chances xG 2.90 xGA 1.19 xGD +1.71 xPts 2.44
Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 5.14. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.
Fenerbahçe in Süper Lig
Attack
- xG / match #2 of 18
- Shots / match #2 of 18
- Chance quality #1 of 18
- Home xG #2 of 18
- Away xG #2 of 18
Defence
- xGA / match #5 of 18
- Shots allowed #4 of 18
- Chance quality allowed #11 of 18
About the data
- xG data
- Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
- Derived metrics
- xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
- Model metrics
- xPts is produced by our probability model.