Fenerbahçe's recorded results for 2026/2027, newest first, with the available xG behind each score. Compare outcomes with the chances created and conceded, then open a match for more detail.
Showing 6 of 6 matching results
6 played this season
Results
- Wins – draws – losses (W–D–L)
- 3 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses
10 pts 16–6 goals +10 GD
Chances
- Provider xG / xGA
- 13.89 – 6.76
- 2.32 – 1.13 per match
- xGD
- +7.13
- +1.19 per match
- xG record
- 4 with the chances, 1 with even chances, 1 against them
Comparable xG: 6 of 6 completed results.
Points vs xPts Model
10 pts 11.8 xPts
−1.8 vs xPts
Matched xPts: 6 of 6 selected results.
Model · How xPts works →Match points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before deductions or sanctions.
Points vs xPts uses only matches with available xPts on both sides of the comparison.
What the results say
Season · All competitions · All venues
Fenerbahçe's mixed record sits behind chances that argue for more. They out-created the opponent in 5 of 6 matches, for +7.13 xG difference overall on 13.89–6.76. Their points total of 10 sits 1.8 below the model's 11.8 xPts, so the chances have clearly outrun the results. The loss against Gençlerbirliği came with +1.71 xGD.
Points minus xPts, match by match
Over these 6 results Fenerbahçe are 1.83 points below their xPts. The gap was widest at -2.44, against Gençlerbirliği on Sat 15/08.
- Points
- 10
- xPts
- 11.83
- Gap
- -1.83
- This match
- Match gap
- Running gap
| Date | Opponent | Points | xPts | Match gap | Running gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 15/08 | Gençlerbirliği | 0 | 2.44 | -2.44 | -2.44 |
| Sat 22/08 | Konyaspor | 3 | 1.53 | +1.47 | -0.97 |
| Sun 30/08 | Samsunspor | 3 | 2.30 | +0.70 | -0.27 |
| Sat 05/09 | Beşiktaş | 0 | 0.47 | -0.47 | -0.74 |
| Mon 14/09 | Gaziantep FK | 1 | 2.13 | -1.13 | -1.87 |
| Sun 20/09 | Eyüpspor | 3 | 2.96 | +0.04 | -1.83 |
Scores and xG
Fenerbahçe first
-
Match analysis →
Why this label · Eyüpspor, Sun 20/09
The team won and had a positive xG difference. The chances support the direction of the result, without making a judgment about fairness.
An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.
- Points
- 3
- Post-match model xPts
- 2.96
- Points minus xPts
- +0.04
xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.
Learn how xG and xPts are calculated → -
Match analysis →
Why this label · Gaziantep FK, Mon 14/09
The match was drawn although the team recorded a positive xG difference. The outcome was weaker than that chance advantage suggests.
An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.
- Points
- 1
- Post-match model xPts
- 2.13
- Points minus xPts
- -1.13
xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.
Learn how xG and xPts are calculated → -
Match analysis →
Why this label · Beşiktaş, Sat 05/09
The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.
An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.
- Points
- 0
- Post-match model xPts
- 0.47
- Points minus xPts
- -0.47
xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.
Learn how xG and xPts are calculated → -
Match analysis →
Why this label · Samsunspor, Sun 30/08
The team won and had a positive xG difference. The chances support the direction of the result, without making a judgment about fairness.
An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.
- Points
- 3
- Post-match model xPts
- 2.30
- Points minus xPts
- +0.70
xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.
Learn how xG and xPts are calculated → -
Match analysis →
Why this label · Konyaspor, Sat 22/08
The team won, while the chance difference was approximately even. The outcome was stronger than that difference alone suggests.
An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.
- Points
- 3
- Post-match model xPts
- 1.53
- Points minus xPts
- +1.47
xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.
Learn how xG and xPts are calculated → -
Match analysis →
Why this label · Gençlerbirliği, Sat 15/08
The team lost despite recording a positive xG difference. The outcome was weaker than that chance advantage suggests.
An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.
- Points
- 0
- Post-match model xPts
- 2.44
- Points minus xPts
- -2.44
xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.
Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
Biggest overperformance
Eyüpspor 8:0
· Home xG / xGA 5.14 – 0.72
- Goal difference
- +8
- xGD
- +4.42
- GD minus xGD
- +3.58
Among 6 comparable results.
Open match →
Biggest underperformance
Gençlerbirliği 1:2
· Away xG / xGA 2.90 – 1.19
- Goal difference
- -1
- xGD
- +1.71
- GD minus xGD
- -2.71
Among 6 comparable results.
Open match →
Reading these results
xG is the provider's estimate of chances created; xGA is the opponent's xG. xGD is the difference. Labels compare the recorded outcome with those chances; they are interpretations, not judgments about fairness.
xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.
How each figure on this page is read
Every xG bar is drawn on one fixed scale: full width is 7.20 xG, the same on every card and in every window, so two cards can be compared by eye. A rarer match above that is capped with a hatched end, and the figure beside the bar still gives its value.
An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.
Goal difference minus xGD says how far a scoreline finished from the chances behind it: a 4:2 won off level chances ran nearly two goals ahead of them. The two callouts under the list name the match that ran furthest each way, and a direction with no result a full goal clear of the chances gets no card rather than a card built from a rounding.
Windows count back from the most recent recorded match, and only matches attached to this club record are included. Home and away mean the provider-designated side, not a verified physical venue. Scores describe recorded play, not shootout advancement. Unverified periods receive no chance comparison.