xgEdge

Sønderjyske Fodbold's recorded results for 2026/2027, newest first, with the available xG behind each score. Compare outcomes with the chances created and conceded, then open a match for more detail.

Showing 5 of 5 matching results

9 played this season

5 available results · Last 10 requested

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Results

Wins – draws – losses (W–D–L)
1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses

4 pts 8–13 goals −5 GD

Chances

Provider xG / xGA
4.97 – 8.25
0.99 – 1.65 per match
xGD
-3.28
-0.66 per match
xG record
1 with the chances, 1 with even chances, 3 against them

Comparable xG: 5 of 5 completed results.

Points vs xPts Model

4 pts 4.5 xPts

−0.5 vs xPts

Matched xPts: 5 of 5 selected results.

Model · How xPts works →

Match points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before deductions or sanctions.

Points vs xPts uses only matches with available xPts on both sides of the comparison.

What the results say

Last 10 · Superliga (Denmark) · Home

Sønderjyske Fodbold's poor return follows chances that have gone against them at both ends. They out-created the opponent in 1 of 5 matches, for −3.28 xG difference overall on 4.97–8.25. Their points total of 4 sits 0.5 below the model's 4.5 xPts, so the chances have slightly outrun the results.

Points minus xPts, match by match

Over these 5 results Sønderjyske Fodbold are 0.55 points below their xPts. The gap was widest at -2.35, against AC Horsens on Sun 06/09.

Points
4
xPts
4.55
Gap
-0.55
Sun 26/07 Fri 07/08 Sun 23/08 Sun 06/09 Sun 20/09 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 -1.58 -1.21 -2.08 -2.35 -0.55 -1.58 +0.37 -0.87 -0.27 +1.80 Running gap points − xPts Each match points − xPts
Sønderjyske Fodbold: Points vs xPts, the gap after every selected result
Date Opponent Points xPts Match gap Running gap
Sun 26/07 FC Midtjylland 0 1.58 -1.58 -1.58
Fri 07/08 Viborg FF 1 0.63 +0.37 -1.21
Sun 23/08 FC Nordsjælland 0 0.87 -0.87 -2.08
Sun 06/09 AC Horsens 0 0.27 -0.27 -2.35
Sun 20/09 Randers FC 3 1.20 +1.80 -0.55

Scores and xG

Sønderjyske Fodbold first

  • Home Superliga (Denmark) Win with even chances

    xG 1.36

    xGA 1.57

    xGD -0.21

    4:2 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Randers FC, Sun 20/09

    The team won, while the chance difference was approximately even. The outcome was stronger than that difference alone suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    1.20
    Points minus xPts
    +1.80

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Superliga (Denmark) Loss backed by the chances

    xG 0.62

    xGA 2.42

    xGD -1.80

    2:5 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · AC Horsens, Sun 06/09

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.27
    Points minus xPts
    -0.27

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Superliga (Denmark) Loss backed by the chances

    xG 1.28

    xGA 1.97

    xGD -0.69

    0:3 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · FC Nordsjælland, Sun 23/08

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.87
    Points minus xPts
    -0.87

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Superliga (Denmark) Draw against the chances

    xG 0.62

    xGA 1.47

    xGD -0.85

    0:0 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Viborg FF, Fri 07/08

    The match was drawn although the team recorded less xG. The outcome was stronger than that chance difference suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    1
    Post-match model xPts
    0.63
    Points minus xPts
    +0.37

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Superliga (Denmark) Loss against the chances

    xG 1.09

    xGA 0.82

    xGD +0.27

    2:3 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · FC Midtjylland, Sun 26/07

    The team lost despite recording a positive xG difference. The outcome was weaker than that chance advantage suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    1.58
    Points minus xPts
    -1.58

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →

Biggest overperformance

Randers FC 4:2

· Home xG / xGA 1.36 – 1.57

Goal difference
+2
xGD
-0.21
GD minus xGD
+2.21

Among 5 comparable results.

Open match →

Biggest underperformance

FC Nordsjælland 0:3

· Home xG / xGA 1.28 – 1.97

Goal difference
-3
xGD
-0.69
GD minus xGD
-2.31

Among 5 comparable results.

Open match →

Reading these results

xG is the provider's estimate of chances created; xGA is the opponent's xG. xGD is the difference. Labels compare the recorded outcome with those chances; they are interpretations, not judgments about fairness.

xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

How each figure on this page is read

Every xG bar is drawn on one fixed scale: full width is 7.20 xG, the same on every card and in every window, so two cards can be compared by eye. A rarer match above that is capped with a hatched end, and the figure beside the bar still gives its value.

An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

Goal difference minus xGD says how far a scoreline finished from the chances behind it: a 4:2 won off level chances ran nearly two goals ahead of them. The two callouts under the list name the match that ran furthest each way, and a direction with no result a full goal clear of the chances gets no card rather than a card built from a rounding.

Windows count back from the most recent recorded match, and only matches attached to this club record are included. Home and away mean the provider-designated side, not a verified physical venue. Scores describe recorded play, not shootout advancement. Unverified periods receive no chance comparison.

How the model works →