xgEdge

Expected goals

Sønderjyske Fodbold expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Superliga (Denmark) · after 9 matches · updated 1 Oct

Sønderjyske Fodbold's attacking and defensive expected goals in Superliga (Denmark) 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Sønderjyske Fodbold xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.01 xG per match
#12/12
Attack (xG per match) across Superliga (Denmark), best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 FC Nordsjælland 2.35
#2 Lyngby 1.85
#3 FC København 1.62
=4 AGF 1.60
=4 Viborg FF 1.60
#6 Odense Boldklub 1.55
#7 FC Midtjylland 1.44
#8 Brøndby IF 1.22
#9 Silkeborg IF 1.10
#10 AC Horsens 1.09
#11 Randers FC 1.06
#12 Sønderjyske Fodbold 1.01
League avg
1.46
Total
9.06 9 matches
Defence
1.81 xGA per match
#12/12
Defence (xGA per match) across Superliga (Denmark), best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 FC Midtjylland 1.11
#2 FC København 1.16
#3 Viborg FF 1.17
#4 Lyngby 1.36
#5 FC Nordsjælland 1.43
#6 Silkeborg IF 1.47
#7 Brøndby IF 1.54
#8 AGF 1.56
#9 AC Horsens 1.57
#10 Randers FC 1.65
#11 Odense Boldklub 1.68
#12 Sønderjyske Fodbold 1.81
League avg
1.46
Total
16.29 9 matches
xG difference
-0.80 xGD per match
#12/12
xG difference (xGD per match) across Superliga (Denmark), best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 FC Nordsjælland +0.93
#2 Lyngby +0.48
#3 FC København +0.46
#4 Viborg FF +0.43
#5 FC Midtjylland +0.33
#6 AGF +0.04
#7 Odense Boldklub -0.13
#8 Brøndby IF -0.32
#9 Silkeborg IF -0.36
#10 AC Horsens -0.48
#11 Randers FC -0.59
#12 Sønderjyske Fodbold -0.80
League avg
0.00
Total
-7.23 9 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
0.82 xPts per match
#12/12
Expected points (xPts per match) across Superliga (Denmark), best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 FC Nordsjælland 1.90
#2 FC København 1.71
#3 Viborg FF 1.70
#4 FC Midtjylland 1.61
#5 Lyngby 1.61
#6 AGF 1.49
#7 Odense Boldklub 1.30
#8 Silkeborg IF 1.22
#9 Brøndby IF 1.18
#10 AC Horsens 1.05
#11 Randers FC 0.99
#12 Sønderjyske Fodbold 0.82
League avg
1.38
Total
7.35 vs 5 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 9 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

Sønderjyske Fodbold's underlying numbers are among the weakest in Superliga (Denmark). They rank #12 for xG difference at -0.80 per match, from low shot volume and low chance quality. Their 12 goals are 2.94 above 9.06 xG, while 5 points are 2.35 below 7.35 xPts. After only 9 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 0.72 xG from penalties
12 9.06 +2.94 scored 2.94 more than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
21 16.29 +4.71 conceded 4.71 more than xGA outside normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
5 7.35 -2.35 2.35 points below xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Sønderjyske Fodbold are 2.94 goals above their xG after 9 matches.

Goals
12
xG
9.06
Gap
+2.94
Sun 26/07 Mon 03/08 Fri 07/08 Mon 17/08 Sun 23/08 Mon 31/08 Sun 06/09 Sun 13/09 Sun 20/09 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +0.91 +0.32 -0.30 +0.78 -0.50 -0.28 +1.10 +0.30 +2.94 +0.91 -0.59 -0.62 +1.08 -1.28 +0.22 +1.38 -0.80 +2.64 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Sønderjyske Fodbold: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sun 26/07 FC Midtjylland 2 1.09 +0.91 +0.91
Mon 03/08 Odense Boldklub 0 0.59 -0.59 +0.32
Fri 07/08 Viborg FF 0 0.62 -0.62 -0.30
Mon 17/08 Brøndby IF 2 0.92 +1.08 +0.78
Sun 23/08 FC Nordsjælland 0 1.28 -1.28 -0.50
Mon 31/08 FC København 1 0.78 +0.22 -0.28
Sun 06/09 AC Horsens 2 0.62 +1.38 +1.10
Sun 13/09 Lyngby 1 1.80 -0.80 +0.30
Sun 20/09 Randers FC 4 1.36 +2.64 +2.94

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking → Compare with every club in Europe →

Sønderjyske Fodbold xG trend

Current form -0.94 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 1 of 9 matches. The worst was against FC København on Mon 31/08 (-1.65).

npxG · last 6
0.98
npxGA · last 6
1.92
-2 -1 0 +1 +0.57 Sun 26/07 -1.53 Mon 03/08 -0.94 Fri 07/08 -0.55 Mon 17/08 -0.92 Sun 23/08 -1.65 Mon 31/08 -1.60 Sun 06/09 -0.37 Sun 13/09 -0.57 Sun 20/09 -0.84 season avg
Sønderjyske Fodbold: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sun 26/07 FC Midtjylland 1.30 0.73 +0.57 +0.57
Mon 03/08 Odense Boldklub 0.59 2.12 -1.53 -0.48
Fri 07/08 Viborg FF 0.59 1.53 -0.94 -0.63
Mon 17/08 Brøndby IF 0.83 1.38 -0.55 -0.61
Sun 23/08 FC Nordsjælland 1.22 2.14 -0.92 -0.67
Mon 31/08 FC København 0.78 2.43 -1.65 -0.84
Sun 06/09 AC Horsens 0.61 2.21 -1.60 -0.95
Sun 13/09 Lyngby 1.14 1.51 -0.37 -0.87
Sun 20/09 Randers FC 1.28 1.85 -0.57 -0.84

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 0.93 npxG and 1.77 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 3 hardest of 12 in Superliga (Denmark)
+0.06 xG vs league average
Over 9 league matches
Last 5
tied number 5 hardest of 12 in Superliga (Denmark)
+0.06 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.06 xG vs league average · over 9 matches · number 3 hardest of 12

  1. Randers FC Home −0.27
  2. Lyngby Away 0.00
  3. AC Horsens Home −0.22
  4. FC København Away +0.38
  5. FC Nordsjælland Home +0.41
  6. Brøndby IF Away +0.05
  7. Viborg FF Home +0.16
  8. Odense Boldklub Away −0.04
  9. FC Midtjylland Home +0.09

Last 5

+0.06 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · tied number 5 hardest of 12

  1. Randers FC Home −0.27
  2. Lyngby Away 0.00
  3. AC Horsens Home −0.22
  4. FC København Away +0.38
  5. FC Nordsjælland Home +0.41

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Sønderjyske Fodbold shots and chance quality

Low volume, low quality. Sønderjyske Fodbold take 11.6 shots a match (league 13.9) at 0.08 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #9 in Superliga (Denmark) for volume and #11 for quality. 70% of their shots come from inside the box (league 64%), and set pieces produce 33% of their npxG (league 25%).

Attack

Shot volume
11.6 shots per match
#9/12
Shot volume (shots per match) across Superliga (Denmark), best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 FC Nordsjælland 17.6
#2 AGF 16.8
#3 Odense Boldklub 15.3
#4 Brøndby IF 15.2
#5 FC København 15.0
#6 Lyngby 14.8
#7 FC Midtjylland 14.2
#8 Viborg FF 13.6
#9 Sønderjyske Fodbold 11.6
#10 Silkeborg IF 11.4
#11 AC Horsens 11.2
#12 Randers FC 9.9
League avg
13.9
Total
104 shots from 9 matches
Chance quality
0.08 npxG per shot
#11/12
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Superliga (Denmark), best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 FC Nordsjælland 0.13
#2 Viborg FF 0.12
#3 Randers FC 0.10
#4 FC København 0.10
#5 Lyngby 0.10
#6 FC Midtjylland 0.10
#7 Odense Boldklub 0.09
#8 AC Horsens 0.08
#9 Silkeborg IF 0.08
#10 AGF 0.08
#11 Sønderjyske Fodbold 0.08
#12 Brøndby IF 0.08
League avg
0.10
Total
8.34 npxG from 104 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
18.2 shots per match
#12/12
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Superliga (Denmark), best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 FC København 11.9
#2 Silkeborg IF 12.4
#3 Brøndby IF 12.6
=4 FC Midtjylland 12.9
=4 Lyngby 12.9
#6 FC Nordsjælland 13.3
#7 Odense Boldklub 13.6
=8 AGF 13.7
=8 Viborg FF 13.7
#10 AC Horsens 15.0
#11 Randers FC 16.4
#12 Sønderjyske Fodbold 18.2
League avg
13.9
Total
164 shots allowed from 9 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.10 npxGA per shot
#8/12
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Superliga (Denmark), best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Viborg FF 0.08
#2 FC Midtjylland 0.08
#3 AGF 0.09
#4 FC Nordsjælland 0.09
#5 FC København 0.09
#6 Randers FC 0.09
#7 Lyngby 0.10
#8 Sønderjyske Fodbold 0.10
#9 AC Horsens 0.10
#10 Brøndby IF 0.11
#11 Odense Boldklub 0.11
#12 Silkeborg IF 0.12
League avg
0.10
Total
15.90 npxGA from 164 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

70% inside the box

League avg 64%

From 73 of 104 shots over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

55% allowed inside the box

League avg 64%

From 90 of 164 shots allowed over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

67% open play · 33% set pieces

League avg 25% set pieces

From 2.7 of 8.3 npxG over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

80% open play · 20% set pieces

League avg 25% set pieces

From 3.2 of 15.8 npxG allowed over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

Sønderjyske Fodbold home and away xG

Sønderjyske Fodbold per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 5 4
xG / match 0.99 1.02
xGA / match 1.65 2.01
xGD / match -0.66 -0.99
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 0.91 0.70

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Sønderjyske Fodbold match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
9
xG / match
1.01
xGA / match
1.81
xGD / match
-0.80
Points
5 of 27
  1. Sun 20/09 Randers FC H xG 1.36 xGA 1.57 xGD -0.21
  2. Sun 13/09 Lyngby A xG 1.80 P xGA 1.87 xGD -0.07
  3. Sun 06/09 AC Horsens H Weakest underlying xG 0.62 xGA 2.42 xGD -1.80
  4. Mon 31/08 FC København A xG 0.78 xGA 2.43 xGD -1.65
  5. Sun 23/08 FC Nordsjælland H xG 1.28 xGA 1.97 xGD -0.69
  6. Mon 17/08 Brøndby IF A xG 0.92 xGA 1.63 xGD -0.71
  7. Fri 07/08 Viborg FF H xG 0.62 xGA 1.47 xGD -0.85
  8. Mon 03/08 Odense Boldklub A xG 0.59 xGA 2.11 xGD -1.52
  9. Sun 26/07 FC Midtjylland H Best underlying xG 1.09 xGA 0.82 xGD +0.27

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Sønderjyske Fodbold in Superliga (Denmark)

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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