Thursday, 17/09/2026 at 20:00
Full timeFK Železničar Pančevo 1:2 FK Crvena zvezda
FK Crvena zvezda were the model's likeliest winner before kick-off at 47%. They won 2–1.
The model against the result
- FK Železničar Pančevo
- 25%
- Draw
- 28%
- FK Crvena zvezda
- 47% What happened
Data coverage Both teams have the full 20-match model window available.
Recent form
1.47 xG created 1.23 xGA
- D 0.53 created, 0.48 conceded against FK Radnik Surdulica
- D 0.56 created, 1.12 conceded against FK Novi Pazar
- W 0.92 created, 1.05 conceded against FK Radnički Niš
- D 1.87 created, 1.20 conceded against FK Mladost Lučani
- L 0.33 created, 3.41 conceded against FK Vojvodina
- W 4.63 created, 0.11 conceded against FK Mačva Šabac
2.64 xG created 1.03 xGA
- W 3.93 created, 0.01 conceded against FK Mačva Šabac
- W 2.67 created, 1.86 conceded against FK Novi Pazar
- W 2.53 created, 1.02 conceded against FK Čukarički
- W 3.51 created, 1.52 conceded against FK Zemun
- W 1.96 created, 1.16 conceded against FK Partizan
- W 1.22 created, 0.60 conceded against FK IMT Beograd
xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result
Head to head
Model details
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- Fit window
- the last 20 matches, recency weighted (a match 107 days old counts half)
- FK Železničar Pančevo sample
- 20 matches
- FK Crvena zvezda sample
- 20 matches
- Computed
- 1 day before kick-off
Limitations
The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.