xgEdge

FC Vaduz's recorded results for 2026/2027, newest first, with the available xG behind each score. Compare outcomes with the chances created and conceded, then open a match for more detail.

Showing 5 of 9 matching results

9 played this season

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Results

Wins – draws – losses (W–D–L)
2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses

6 pts 11–9 goals +2 GD

Chances

Provider xG / xGA
8.86 – 8.79
1.77 – 1.76 per match
xGD
+0.07
+0.01 per match
xG record
2 with the chances, 1 with even chances, 2 against them

Comparable xG: 5 of 5 completed results.

Points vs xPts Model

6 pts 7.1 xPts

−1.1 vs xPts

Matched xPts: 5 of 5 selected results.

Model · How xPts works →

Match points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before deductions or sanctions.

Points vs xPts uses only matches with available xPts on both sides of the comparison.

What the results say

Last 5 · All competitions · All venues

FC Vaduz's mixed record matches the chances at both ends. They out-created the opponent in 2 of 5 matches, for +0.07 xG difference overall on 8.86–8.79. Their points total of 6 sits 1.1 below the model's 7.1 xPts, so the chances have slightly outrun the results. The loss against FC Thun came with +1.07 xGD.

Points minus xPts, match by match

Over these 5 results FC Vaduz are 1.13 points below their xPts.

Points
6
xPts
7.13
Gap
-1.13
Sun 30/08 Wed 02/09 Sat 05/09 Sun 13/09 Sun 20/09 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +2.00 +1.49 +2.17 +0.95 -1.13 +2.00 -0.51 +0.68 -1.22 -2.08 Running gap points − xPts Each match points − xPts
FC Vaduz: Points vs xPts, the gap after every selected result
Date Opponent Points xPts Match gap Running gap
Sun 30/08 Grasshopper Club Zürich 3 1.00 +2.00 +2.00
Wed 02/09 FC Luzern 0 0.51 -0.51 +1.49
Sat 05/09 FC Lausanne-Sport 3 2.32 +0.68 +2.17
Sun 13/09 FC Zürich 0 1.22 -1.22 +0.95
Sun 20/09 FC Thun 0 2.08 -2.08 -1.13

Scores and xG

FC Vaduz first

  • Home Swiss Super League Loss against the chances

    xG 2.77

    xGA 1.70

    xGD +1.07

    1:2 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · FC Thun, Sun 20/09

    The team lost despite recording a positive xG difference. The outcome was weaker than that chance advantage suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    2.08
    Points minus xPts
    -2.08

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Swiss Super League Loss with even chances

    xG 1.03

    xGA 1.18

    xGD -0.15

    1:2 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · FC Zürich, Sun 13/09

    The team lost, while the chance difference was approximately even. The outcome was weaker than that difference alone suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    1.22
    Points minus xPts
    -1.22

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Swiss Super League Win backed by the chances

    xG 1.65

    xGA 0.50

    xGD +1.15

    3:1 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · FC Lausanne-Sport, Sat 05/09

    The team won and had a positive xG difference. The chances support the direction of the result, without making a judgment about fairness.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    2.32
    Points minus xPts
    +0.68

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Swiss Super League Loss backed by the chances

    xG 1.10

    xGA 2.42

    xGD -1.32

    1:2 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · FC Luzern, Wed 02/09

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.52
    Points minus xPts
    -0.52

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Swiss Super League Win against the chances

    xG 2.31

    xGA 2.99

    xGD -0.68

    5:2 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Grasshopper Club Zürich, Sun 30/08

    The team won despite recording less xG than its opponent. That contrast does not make the win impossible or establish why it happened.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    1.00
    Points minus xPts
    +2.00

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →

Biggest overperformance

Grasshopper Club Zürich 5:2

· Home xG / xGA 2.31 – 2.99

Goal difference
+3
xGD
-0.68
GD minus xGD
+3.68

Among 5 comparable results.

Open match →

Biggest underperformance

FC Thun 1:2

· Home xG / xGA 2.77 – 1.70

Goal difference
-1
xGD
+1.07
GD minus xGD
-2.07

Among 5 comparable results.

Open match →

Reading these results

xG is the provider's estimate of chances created; xGA is the opponent's xG. xGD is the difference. Labels compare the recorded outcome with those chances; they are interpretations, not judgments about fairness.

xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

How each figure on this page is read

Every xG bar is drawn on one fixed scale: full width is 7.20 xG, the same on every card and in every window, so two cards can be compared by eye. A rarer match above that is capped with a hatched end, and the figure beside the bar still gives its value.

An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

Goal difference minus xGD says how far a scoreline finished from the chances behind it: a 4:2 won off level chances ran nearly two goals ahead of them. The two callouts under the list name the match that ran furthest each way, and a direction with no result a full goal clear of the chances gets no card rather than a card built from a rounding.

Windows count back from the most recent recorded match, and only matches attached to this club record are included. Home and away mean the provider-designated side, not a verified physical venue. Scores describe recorded play, not shootout advancement. Unverified periods receive no chance comparison.

How the model works →