xgEdge

FC Vaduz's recorded results for 2026/2027, newest first, with the available xG behind each score. Compare outcomes with the chances created and conceded, then open a match for more detail.

Showing 9 of 9 matching results

9 played this season

9 available results · Last 10 requested

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Results

Wins – draws – losses (W–D–L)
2 wins, 0 draws, 7 losses

6 pts 18–21 goals −3 GD

Chances

Provider xG / xGA
14.97 – 17.99
1.66 – 2.00 per match
xGD
-3.02
-0.34 per match
xG record
2 with the chances, 2 with even chances, 5 against them

Comparable xG: 9 of 9 completed results.

Points vs xPts Model

6 pts 10.6 xPts

−4.6 vs xPts

Matched xPts: 9 of 9 selected results.

Model · How xPts works →

Match points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before deductions or sanctions.

Points vs xPts uses only matches with available xPts on both sides of the comparison.

What the results say

Last 10 · All competitions · All venues

FC Vaduz's poor return follows chances that have gone against them at both ends. They out-created the opponent in 2 of 9 matches, for −3.02 xG difference overall on 14.97–17.99. Their points total of 6 sits 4.6 below the model's 10.6 xPts, so the chances have clearly outrun the results. The loss against FC Thun came with +1.07 xGD.

Points minus xPts, match by match

Over these 9 results FC Vaduz are 4.61 points below their xPts.

Points
6
xPts
10.61
Gap
-4.61
Sun 26/07 Sun 02/08 Sun 09/08 Sun 23/08 Sun 30/08 Wed 02/09 Sat 05/09 Sun 13/09 Sun 20/09 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 -0.44 -1.72 -2.47 -3.48 -1.47 -1.99 -1.31 -2.53 -4.61 -0.44 -1.28 -0.75 -1.01 +2.01 -0.52 +0.68 -1.22 -2.08 Running gap points − xPts Each match points − xPts
FC Vaduz: Points vs xPts, the gap after every selected result
Date Opponent Points xPts Match gap Running gap
Sun 26/07 FC Lugano 0 0.44 -0.44 -0.44
Sun 02/08 FC St. Gallen 1879 0 1.28 -1.28 -1.72
Sun 09/08 FC Sion 0 0.75 -0.75 -2.47
Sun 23/08 Young Boys 0 1.01 -1.01 -3.48
Sun 30/08 Grasshopper Club Zürich 3 0.99 +2.01 -1.47
Wed 02/09 FC Luzern 0 0.52 -0.52 -1.99
Sat 05/09 FC Lausanne-Sport 3 2.32 +0.68 -1.31
Sun 13/09 FC Zürich 0 1.22 -1.22 -2.53
Sun 20/09 FC Thun 0 2.08 -2.08 -4.61

Scores and xG

FC Vaduz first

  • Home Swiss Super League Loss against the chances

    xG 2.77

    xGA 1.70

    xGD +1.07

    1:2 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · FC Thun, Sun 20/09

    The team lost despite recording a positive xG difference. The outcome was weaker than that chance advantage suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    2.08
    Points minus xPts
    -2.08

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Swiss Super League Loss with even chances

    xG 1.03

    xGA 1.18

    xGD -0.15

    1:2 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · FC Zürich, Sun 13/09

    The team lost, while the chance difference was approximately even. The outcome was weaker than that difference alone suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    1.22
    Points minus xPts
    -1.22

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Swiss Super League Win backed by the chances

    xG 1.65

    xGA 0.50

    xGD +1.15

    3:1 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · FC Lausanne-Sport, Sat 05/09

    The team won and had a positive xG difference. The chances support the direction of the result, without making a judgment about fairness.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    2.32
    Points minus xPts
    +0.68

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Swiss Super League Loss backed by the chances

    xG 1.10

    xGA 2.42

    xGD -1.32

    1:2 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · FC Luzern, Wed 02/09

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.52
    Points minus xPts
    -0.52

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Swiss Super League Win against the chances

    xG 2.31

    xGA 2.99

    xGD -0.68

    5:2 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Grasshopper Club Zürich, Sun 30/08

    The team won despite recording less xG than its opponent. That contrast does not make the win impossible or establish why it happened.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    1.00
    Points minus xPts
    +2.00

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Swiss Super League Loss backed by the chances

    xG 1.64

    xGA 2.19

    xGD -0.55

    2:4 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Young Boys, Sun 23/08

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    1.01
    Points minus xPts
    -1.01

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Swiss Super League Loss backed by the chances

    xG 1.75

    xGA 2.81

    xGD -1.06

    2:3 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · FC Sion, Sun 09/08

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.75
    Points minus xPts
    -0.75

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Swiss Super League Loss with even chances

    xG 2.01

    xGA 2.17

    xGD -0.16

    2:3 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · FC St. Gallen 1879, Sun 02/08

    The team lost, while the chance difference was approximately even. The outcome was weaker than that difference alone suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    1.28
    Points minus xPts
    -1.28

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Swiss Super League Loss backed by the chances

    xG 0.71

    xGA 2.03

    xGD -1.32

    1:2 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · FC Lugano, Sun 26/07

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.44
    Points minus xPts
    -0.44

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →

Biggest overperformance

Grasshopper Club Zürich 5:2

· Home xG / xGA 2.31 – 2.99

Goal difference
+3
xGD
-0.68
GD minus xGD
+3.68

Among 9 comparable results.

Open match →

Biggest underperformance

FC Thun 1:2

· Home xG / xGA 2.77 – 1.70

Goal difference
-1
xGD
+1.07
GD minus xGD
-2.07

Among 9 comparable results.

Open match →

Reading these results

xG is the provider's estimate of chances created; xGA is the opponent's xG. xGD is the difference. Labels compare the recorded outcome with those chances; they are interpretations, not judgments about fairness.

xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

How each figure on this page is read

Every xG bar is drawn on one fixed scale: full width is 7.20 xG, the same on every card and in every window, so two cards can be compared by eye. A rarer match above that is capped with a hatched end, and the figure beside the bar still gives its value.

An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

Goal difference minus xGD says how far a scoreline finished from the chances behind it: a 4:2 won off level chances ran nearly two goals ahead of them. The two callouts under the list name the match that ran furthest each way, and a direction with no result a full goal clear of the chances gets no card rather than a card built from a rounding.

Windows count back from the most recent recorded match, and only matches attached to this club record are included. Home and away mean the provider-designated side, not a verified physical venue. Scores describe recorded play, not shootout advancement. Unverified periods receive no chance comparison.

How the model works →