Expected goals
FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi expected goals (xG) 2026/2027
Ukrainian Premier League · after 7 matches · updated 1 Oct
FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi's attacking and defensive expected goals in Ukrainian Premier League 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.
FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi xG and xGA per match
Every match ↓| Rank | Club | xG per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Metalist 1925 | 2.42 |
| #2 | Polissya Zhytomyr | 2.19 |
| #3 | LNZ Cherkasy | 2.10 |
| #4 | Karpaty Lviv | 1.90 |
| #5 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 1.88 |
| #6 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi | 1.86 |
| #7 | Dynamo Kyiv | 1.81 |
| #8 | FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi | 1.74 |
| #9 | FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih | 1.36 |
| #10 | Kolos Kovalivka | 1.34 |
| #11 | Zoria Luhansk | 1.15 |
| #12 | Veres Rivne | 0.94 |
| #13 | Kudrivka | 0.86 |
| #14 | FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv | 0.71 |
| #15 | Obolon Kyiv | 0.60 |
| #16 | Chornomorets Odesa | 0.54 |
- League avg
- 1.51
- Total
- 12.19 7 matches
| Rank | Club | xGA per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Polissya Zhytomyr | 0.68 |
| #2 | Metalist 1925 | 0.79 |
| #3 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 0.92 |
| #4 | Dynamo Kyiv | 0.94 |
| #5 | FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv | 1.09 |
| #6 | FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi | 1.17 |
| #7 | LNZ Cherkasy | 1.26 |
| #8 | Chornomorets Odesa | 1.30 |
| #9 | Zoria Luhansk | 1.37 |
| #10 | Karpaty Lviv | 1.59 |
| #11 | Kolos Kovalivka | 1.69 |
| #12 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi | 2.01 |
| #13 | Veres Rivne | 2.06 |
| #14 | FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih | 2.32 |
| #15 | Kudrivka | 2.50 |
| #16 | Obolon Kyiv | 2.79 |
- League avg
- 1.51
- Total
- 8.19 7 matches
| Rank | Club | xGD per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Metalist 1925 | +1.63 |
| #2 | Polissya Zhytomyr | +1.51 |
| #3 | Shakhtar Donetsk | +0.96 |
| #4 | Dynamo Kyiv | +0.87 |
| #5 | LNZ Cherkasy | +0.84 |
| #6 | FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi | +0.57 |
| #7 | Karpaty Lviv | +0.30 |
| #8 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi | -0.14 |
| #9 | Zoria Luhansk | -0.22 |
| #10 | Kolos Kovalivka | -0.34 |
| #11 | FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv | -0.38 |
| #12 | Chornomorets Odesa | -0.76 |
| #13 | FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih | -0.96 |
| #14 | Veres Rivne | -1.13 |
| #15 | Kudrivka | -1.65 |
| #16 | Obolon Kyiv | -2.19 |
- League avg
- 0.00
- Total
- +4.00 7 matches
| Rank | Club | xPts per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Polissya Zhytomyr | 2.29 |
| #2 | Metalist 1925 | 2.23 |
| #3 | Dynamo Kyiv | 2.02 |
| #4 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 2.01 |
| #5 | FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi | 1.72 |
| #6 | LNZ Cherkasy | 1.64 |
| #7 | Karpaty Lviv | 1.58 |
| #8 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi | 1.38 |
| #9 | Zoria Luhansk | 1.20 |
| #10 | Kolos Kovalivka | 1.15 |
| #11 | FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv | 1.01 |
| #12 | Veres Rivne | 0.85 |
| #13 | FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih | 0.83 |
| #14 | Chornomorets Odesa | 0.74 |
| #15 | Kudrivka | 0.54 |
| #16 | Obolon Kyiv | 0.48 |
- League avg
- 1.40
- Total
- 12.05 vs 8 actual pts
Early-season figures: after 7 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.
What the xG says
FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi's underlying numbers are among the best in Ukrainian Premier League. They rank #6 for xG difference at +0.57 per match, built on high chance quality rather than about average shot volume. Their 6 goals are 6.19 below 12.19 xG, while 8 points are 4.05 below 12.05 xPts. After only 7 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.
Actual vs expected
Select a row to chart it across the season.
Goals minus xG, match by match
FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi are 6.19 goals below their xG after 7 matches.
- Goals
- 6
- xG
- 12.19
- Gap
- -6.19
- This match
- Match gap
- Running gap
| Date | Opponent | Goals | xG | Match gap | Running gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 02/08 | Obolon Kyiv | 3 | 2.67 | +0.33 | +0.33 |
| Sun 09/08 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 0 | 0.47 | -0.47 | -0.14 |
| Fri 14/08 | Veres Rivne | 0 | 2.05 | -2.05 | -2.19 |
| Sat 29/08 | Kudrivka | 3 | 2.41 | +0.59 | -1.60 |
| Sun 06/09 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi | 0 | 2.19 | -2.19 | -3.79 |
| Mon 14/09 | Dynamo Kyiv | 0 | 1.04 | -1.04 | -4.83 |
| Sat 19/09 | FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv | 0 | 1.36 | -1.36 | -6.19 |
FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi xG trend
Current form +0.32 npxGD per match
The last 6 matches with xG.
Out-created the opponent in 4 of 7 matches. The worst was against Shakhtar Donetsk on Sun 09/08 (-0.77).
- npxG · last 6
- 1.60
- npxGA · last 6
- 1.28
- npxG
- npxGA
- npxGD
- Avg so far
| Date | Opponent | npxG | npxGA | npxGD | Avg so far |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 02/08 | Obolon Kyiv | 1.15 | 0.53 | +0.62 | +0.62 |
| Sun 09/08 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 0.54 | 1.31 | -0.77 | -0.08 |
| Fri 14/08 | Veres Rivne | 2.07 | 0.69 | +1.38 | +0.41 |
| Sat 29/08 | Kudrivka | 2.41 | 0.97 | +1.44 | +0.67 |
| Sun 06/09 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi | 2.19 | 2.18 | +0.01 | +0.54 |
| Mon 14/09 | Dynamo Kyiv | 1.04 | 1.05 | -0.01 | +0.44 |
| Sat 19/09 | FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv | 1.36 | 1.47 | -0.11 | +0.37 |
Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.54 npxG and 1.17 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.
Strength of schedule
- Season so far
- tied number 10 hardest of 16 in Ukrainian Premier League
- −0.07 xG vs league average
- Over 7 league matches
- Last 5
- number 15 hardest of 16 in Ukrainian Premier League
- −0.15 xG vs league average
- Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures
Season so far
−0.07 xG vs league average · over 7 matches · tied number 10 hardest of 16
- FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv Home −0.35
- Dynamo Kyiv Away +0.64
- Bukovyna Chernivtsi Home +0.05
- Kudrivka Away −0.70
- Veres Rivne Home −0.37
- Shakhtar Donetsk Home +0.66
- Obolon Kyiv Home −0.45
Last 5
−0.15 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 15 hardest of 16
- FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv Home −0.35
- Dynamo Kyiv Away +0.64
- Bukovyna Chernivtsi Home +0.05
- Kudrivka Away −0.70
- Veres Rivne Home −0.37
FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi shots and chance quality
Average volume, high quality. FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi take 12.4 shots a match (league 13.5) at 0.12 npxG a shot (league 0.11), #11 in Ukrainian Premier League for volume and #4 for quality. 57% of their shots come from inside the box (league 54%).
Attack
| Rank | Club | shots per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Polissya Zhytomyr | 20.3 |
| #2 | Metalist 1925 | 17.8 |
| #3 | Dynamo Kyiv | 16.3 |
| #4 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi | 16.0 |
| #5 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 15.2 |
| #6 | FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih | 14.3 |
| #7 | LNZ Cherkasy | 13.8 |
| #8 | Kolos Kovalivka | 13.6 |
| #9 | Karpaty Lviv | 13.1 |
| #10 | Zoria Luhansk | 13.0 |
| #11 | FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi | 12.4 |
| #12 | Veres Rivne | 11.2 |
| #13 | Chornomorets Odesa | 10.3 |
| #14 | FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv | 10.0 |
| #15 | Kudrivka | 8.8 |
| #16 | Obolon Kyiv | 8.3 |
- League avg
- 13.5
- Total
- 87 shots from 7 matches
| Rank | Club | npxG per shot |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Karpaty Lviv | 0.14 |
| #2 | Metalist 1925 | 0.14 |
| #3 | LNZ Cherkasy | 0.13 |
| #4 | FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi | 0.12 |
| #5 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi | 0.12 |
| #6 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 0.12 |
| #7 | Dynamo Kyiv | 0.11 |
| #8 | Kudrivka | 0.10 |
| #9 | Kolos Kovalivka | 0.10 |
| #10 | Polissya Zhytomyr | 0.10 |
| #11 | Zoria Luhansk | 0.09 |
| #12 | Veres Rivne | 0.09 |
| #13 | FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih | 0.08 |
| #14 | FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv | 0.07 |
| #15 | Obolon Kyiv | 0.07 |
| #16 | Chornomorets Odesa | 0.05 |
- League avg
- 0.11
- Total
- 10.76 npxG from 87 shots
Defence
| Rank | Club | shots per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 7.0 |
| #2 | Metalist 1925 | 7.3 |
| #3 | Polissya Zhytomyr | 7.7 |
| #4 | Dynamo Kyiv | 9.7 |
| #5 | LNZ Cherkasy | 11.2 |
| #6 | FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi | 12.1 |
| #7 | FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv | 14.6 |
| #8 | Karpaty Lviv | 14.9 |
| #9 | Zoria Luhansk | 15.0 |
| #10 | Veres Rivne | 15.6 |
| #11 | Obolon Kyiv | 16.5 |
| #12 | Kolos Kovalivka | 16.6 |
| #13 | Chornomorets Odesa | 16.8 |
| #14 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi | 17.3 |
| #15 | Kudrivka | 18.2 |
| #16 | FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih | 18.3 |
- League avg
- 13.5
- Total
- 85 shots allowed from 7 matches
| Rank | Club | npxGA per shot |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv | 0.07 |
| #2 | Chornomorets Odesa | 0.08 |
| #3 | Karpaty Lviv | 0.09 |
| #4 | Zoria Luhansk | 0.09 |
| #5 | FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi | 0.10 |
| #6 | Polissya Zhytomyr | 0.10 |
| #7 | LNZ Cherkasy | 0.10 |
| #8 | Dynamo Kyiv | 0.10 |
| #9 | Kolos Kovalivka | 0.10 |
| #10 | FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih | 0.11 |
| #11 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi | 0.12 |
| #12 | Veres Rivne | 0.12 |
| #13 | Metalist 1925 | 0.13 |
| #14 | Kudrivka | 0.13 |
| #15 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 0.13 |
| #16 | Obolon Kyiv | 0.13 |
- League avg
- 0.11
- Total
- 8.20 npxGA from 85 shots
Shot profile
57% inside the box
League avg 54%
From 50 of 87 shots over 7 matches
Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.
62% allowed inside the box
League avg 54%
From 53 of 85 shots allowed over 7 matches
Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.
FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi home and away xG
| Measure | Home | Away only 2 matches with xG |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 5 | 2 |
| xG / match | 1.75 | 1.73 |
| xGA / match | 1.23 | 1.01 |
| xGD / match | +0.51 | +0.72 |
| xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → | 1.67 | 1.85 |
Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.
Every FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi match by xG
Away this season
- Matches
- 2
- xG / match
- 1.73
- xGA / match
- 1.01
- xGD / match
- +0.72
- Points
- 3 of 6
Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.
FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi in Ukrainian Premier League
Attack
- xG / match #8 of 16
- Shots / match #11 of 16
- Chance quality #4 of 16
- Home xG #2 of 16
- Away xG #7 of 16
Defence
- xGA / match #6 of 16
- Shots allowed #6 of 16
- Chance quality allowed #5 of 16
About the data
- xG data
- Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
- Derived metrics
- xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
- Model metrics
- xPts is produced by our probability model.