Friday, 23/10/2026 at 19:30
19d 17h to kick-offSC Rheindorf Altach – Austria Wien
Model updated 4 October, 00:30 Odds not yet available
What the model expects
- SC Rheindorf Altach
- 40%
- Draw
- 34%
- Austria Wien
- 27%
| SC Rheindorf Altach | Draw | Austria Wien | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fair odds | 2.53 | 2.95 | 3.77 |
- Total goals
- 2.17
- Over 2.5 goals
- 37%
- Both teams to score
- 49%
Both teams have the full 20-match model window available.
Model vs market
Market odds are not available for this match yet.
Why the model leans SC Rheindorf Altach
40% SC Rheindorf Altach to win
- Attack
- 9th vs 5th
- SC Rheindorf Altach attack v Austria Wien defence
- Defence
- 6th vs 11th
- SC Rheindorf Altach defence v Austria Wien attack
- Recent xG form
- -0.04 vs -0.89
- xGD per match, last 6
- Projected goals
- 1.21 – 0.96
- SC Rheindorf Altach v Austria Wien
Team comparison
Season to date, per match, with each club's placing in the competition. The last row is the last 6 matches.
| Reading | SC Rheindorf Altach | Austria Wien |
|---|---|---|
| xG / match | (better) 1.24 · 7th | 0.74 · 12th |
| xGA / match | (better) 1.33 · 5th | 1.85 · 9th |
| xGD / match | (better) -0.08 · 6th | -1.12 · 11th |
| xPts / match | (better) 1.42 · 5th | 0.77 · 11th |
| Last 6 xGD / match | (better) -0.04 | -0.89 |
The scorelines behind the model's numbers
No exact score is especially likely. The 3 most probable scorelines account for 40% of the model's distribution.
- SC Rheindorf Altach clean sheet
- 35%
- SC Rheindorf Altach 2+ goals
- 35%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 63%
- Both teams to score: no
- 51%
Most likely scorelines
- 1:1
- 17.4%
- 0:0
- 11.5%
- 1:0
- 11.5%
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How value is calculated
Value is probability × odds − 1 — it pays on average and over the long run, not necessarily in this match. The model knows nothing of absences, motivation or the schedule.
Nothing you type is remembered.
Model details
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- Fit window
- the last 20 matches, recency weighted (a match 107 days old counts half)
- SC Rheindorf Altach sample
- 20 matches
- Austria Wien sample
- 20 matches
- Home xG sample · SC Rheindorf Altach
- 3 matches
- Away xG sample · Austria Wien
- 4 matches
- Computed
- Sunday, 04/10/2026 at 00:30
Limitations
The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.