Friday, 06/11/2026 at 19:30
33d 11h to kick-offSK Rapid Wien – Wolfsberger AC
Model updated 4 October, 06:30 Odds not yet available
What the model expects
- SK Rapid Wien
- 62%
- Draw
- 24%
- Wolfsberger AC
- 14%
| SK Rapid Wien | Draw | Wolfsberger AC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fair odds | 1.62 | 4.13 | 7.17 |
- Total goals
- 2.92
- Over 2.5 goals
- 58%
- Both teams to score
- 58%
Both teams have the full 20-match model window available.
Model vs market
Market odds are not available for this match yet.
Why the model leans SK Rapid Wien
62% SK Rapid Wien to win
- Attack
- 4th vs 12th
- SK Rapid Wien attack v Wolfsberger AC defence
- Defence
- 3rd vs 7th
- SK Rapid Wien defence v Wolfsberger AC attack
- Recent xG form
- +1.30 vs -2.04
- xGD per match, last 6
- Projected goals
- 1.99 – 0.93
- SK Rapid Wien v Wolfsberger AC
Team comparison
Season to date, per match, with each club's placing in the competition. The last row is the last 6 matches.
| Reading | SK Rapid Wien | Wolfsberger AC |
|---|---|---|
| xG / match | (better) 2.26 · 3rd | 1.14 · 10th |
| xGA / match | (better) 1.10 · 3rd | 2.53 · 12th |
| xGD / match | (better) +1.16 · 3rd | -1.39 · 12th |
| xPts / match | (better) 1.95 · 3rd | 0.70 · 12th |
| Last 6 xGD / match | (better) +1.30 | -2.04 |
The scorelines behind the model's numbers
No exact score is especially likely. The 3 most probable scorelines account for 35% of the model's distribution.
- SK Rapid Wien clean sheet
- 36%
- SK Rapid Wien 2+ goals
- 61%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 42%
- Both teams to score: no
- 42%
Most likely scorelines
- 1:1
- 12.3%
- 2:1
- 11.8%
- 2:0
- 10.7%
Check your bookmaker's price
Enter a bookmaker's price to compare it with the model's fair odds.
How value is calculated
Value is probability × odds − 1 — it pays on average and over the long run, not necessarily in this match. The model knows nothing of absences, motivation or the schedule.
Nothing you type is remembered.
Model details
Show
Hide
- Fit window
- the last 20 matches, recency weighted (a match 107 days old counts half)
- SK Rapid Wien sample
- 20 matches
- Wolfsberger AC sample
- 20 matches
- Home xG sample · SK Rapid Wien
- 4 matches
- Away xG sample · Wolfsberger AC
- 3 matches
- Computed
- Sunday, 04/10/2026 at 06:30
Limitations
The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.