xgEdge

Wolfsberger AC's recorded results for 2026/2027, newest first, with the available xG behind each score. Compare outcomes with the chances created and conceded, then open a match for more detail.

Showing 5 of 7 matching results

7 played this season

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Results

Wins – draws – losses (W–D–L)
0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses

1 pts 3–12 goals −9 GD

Chances

Provider xG / xGA
4.23 – 13.85
0.85 – 2.77 per match
xGD
-9.62
-1.92 per match
xG record
0 with the chances, 0 with even chances, 5 against them

Comparable xG: 5 of 5 completed results.

Points vs xPts Model

1 pts 1.9 xPts

−0.9 vs xPts

Matched xPts: 5 of 5 selected results.

Model · How xPts works →

Match points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before deductions or sanctions.

Points vs xPts uses only matches with available xPts on both sides of the comparison.

What the results say

Last 5 · All competitions · All venues

Wolfsberger AC's winless run follows chances that have gone against them at both ends. They out-created the opponent in 0 of 5 matches, for −9.62 xG difference overall on 4.23–13.85. Their points total of 1 sits 0.9 below the model's 1.9 xPts, so the chances have slightly outrun the results.

Points minus xPts, match by match

Over these 5 results Wolfsberger AC are 0.87 points below their xPts.

Points
1
xPts
1.87
Gap
-0.87
Sat 15/08 Sat 29/08 Tue 01/09 Sat 12/09 Sun 20/09 -1 0 +1 -0.41 +0.48 +0.38 -0.67 -0.87 -0.41 +0.89 -0.10 -1.05 -0.20 Running gap points − xPts Each match points − xPts
Wolfsberger AC: Points vs xPts, the gap after every selected result
Date Opponent Points xPts Match gap Running gap
Sat 15/08 SC Austria Lustenau 0 0.41 -0.41 -0.41
Sat 29/08 Grazer AK 1902 1 0.11 +0.89 +0.48
Tue 01/09 LASK 0 0.10 -0.10 +0.38
Sat 12/09 SK Rapid Wien 0 1.05 -1.05 -0.67
Sun 20/09 SV Ried 0 0.20 -0.20 -0.87

Scores and xG

Wolfsberger AC first

  • Away Austrian Bundesliga Loss backed by the chances

    xG 1.77

    xGA 4.74

    xGD -2.97

    1:4 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · SV Ried, Sun 20/09

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.20
    Points minus xPts
    -0.20

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Austrian Bundesliga Loss backed by the chances

    xG 0.77

    xGA 1.05

    xGD -0.28

    0:3 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · SK Rapid Wien, Sat 12/09

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    1.06
    Points minus xPts
    -1.06

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Austrian Bundesliga Loss backed by the chances

    xG 0.27

    xGA 2.79

    xGD -2.52

    1:3 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · LASK, Tue 01/09

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.09
    Points minus xPts
    -0.09

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Austrian Bundesliga Draw against the chances

    xG 0.09

    xGA 2.14

    xGD -2.05

    0:0 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Grazer AK 1902, Sat 29/08

    The match was drawn although the team recorded less xG. The outcome was stronger than that chance difference suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    1
    Post-match model xPts
    0.11
    Points minus xPts
    +0.89

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Austrian Bundesliga Loss backed by the chances

    xG 1.33

    xGA 3.13

    xGD -1.80

    1:2 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · SC Austria Lustenau, Sat 15/08

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.41
    Points minus xPts
    -0.41

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →

Biggest overperformance

Grazer AK 1902 0:0

· Away xG / xGA 0.09 – 2.14

Goal difference
0
xGD
-2.05
GD minus xGD
+2.05

Among 5 comparable results.

Open match →

Biggest underperformance

SK Rapid Wien 0:3

· Home xG / xGA 0.77 – 1.05

Goal difference
-3
xGD
-0.28
GD minus xGD
-2.72

Among 5 comparable results.

Open match →

Reading these results

xG is the provider's estimate of chances created; xGA is the opponent's xG. xGD is the difference. Labels compare the recorded outcome with those chances; they are interpretations, not judgments about fairness.

xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

How each figure on this page is read

Every xG bar is drawn on one fixed scale: full width is 7.20 xG, the same on every card and in every window, so two cards can be compared by eye. A rarer match above that is capped with a hatched end, and the figure beside the bar still gives its value.

An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

Goal difference minus xGD says how far a scoreline finished from the chances behind it: a 4:2 won off level chances ran nearly two goals ahead of them. The two callouts under the list name the match that ran furthest each way, and a direction with no result a full goal clear of the chances gets no card rather than a card built from a rounding.

Windows count back from the most recent recorded match, and only matches attached to this club record are included. Home and away mean the provider-designated side, not a verified physical venue. Scores describe recorded play, not shootout advancement. Unverified periods receive no chance comparison.

How the model works →