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Expected goals

WSG Tirol expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Austrian Bundesliga · after 7 matches · updated 4 Oct

WSG Tirol's attacking and defensive expected goals in Austrian Bundesliga 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

WSG Tirol xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.52 xG per match
#6/12
Attack (xG per match) across Austrian Bundesliga, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Red Bull Salzburg 2.68
#2 LASK 2.54
#3 SK Rapid Wien 2.26
#4 SV Ried 1.96
#5 SK Sturm Graz 1.83
#6 WSG Tirol 1.52
#7 SC Rheindorf Altach 1.24
#8 SC Austria Lustenau 1.24
#9 Grazer AK 1902 1.14
#10 Wolfsberger AC 1.14
#11 TSV Hartberg 1.01
#12 Austria Wien 0.74
League avg
1.61
Total
10.64 7 matches
Defence
1.76 xGA per match
#8/12
Defence (xGA per match) across Austrian Bundesliga, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 LASK 0.93
#2 Red Bull Salzburg 1.08
#3 SK Rapid Wien 1.10
#4 SK Sturm Graz 1.29
#5 SC Rheindorf Altach 1.33
#6 SV Ried 1.75
#7 Grazer AK 1902 1.75
#8 WSG Tirol 1.76
#9 Austria Wien 1.85
#10 SC Austria Lustenau 1.89
#11 TSV Hartberg 2.02
#12 Wolfsberger AC 2.53
League avg
1.61
Total
12.29 7 matches
xG difference
-0.24 xGD per match
#7/12
xG difference (xGD per match) across Austrian Bundesliga, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 LASK +1.60
#2 Red Bull Salzburg +1.60
#3 SK Rapid Wien +1.16
#4 SK Sturm Graz +0.53
#5 SV Ried +0.22
#6 SC Rheindorf Altach -0.08
#7 WSG Tirol -0.24
#8 Grazer AK 1902 -0.61
#9 SC Austria Lustenau -0.65
#10 TSV Hartberg -1.01
#11 Austria Wien -1.12
#12 Wolfsberger AC -1.39
League avg
0.00
Total
-1.65 7 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.32 xPts per match
#7/12
Expected points (xPts per match) across Austrian Bundesliga, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 LASK 2.33
#2 Red Bull Salzburg 2.33
#3 SK Rapid Wien 1.95
#4 SK Sturm Graz 1.70
#5 SC Rheindorf Altach 1.42
#6 SV Ried 1.40
#7 WSG Tirol 1.32
#8 Grazer AK 1902 1.20
#9 SC Austria Lustenau 0.93
#10 TSV Hartberg 0.79
#11 Austria Wien 0.77
#12 Wolfsberger AC 0.70
League avg
1.41
Total
9.25 vs 8 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 7 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

WSG Tirol's underlying numbers sit close to the Austrian Bundesliga average. They rank #7 for xG difference at -0.24 per match, from low shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 9 goals are 1.64 below 10.64 xG, while 8 points are 1.25 below 9.25 xPts. After only 7 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 2.59 xG from penalties
9 10.64 -1.64 scored 1.64 fewer than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
12 12.29 -0.29 conceded 0.29 fewer than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
8 9.25 -1.25 1.25 points below xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

WSG Tirol are 1.64 goals below their xG after 7 matches. The gap was widest at -2.52, against Red Bull Salzburg on Sun 16/08.

Goals
9
xG
10.64
Gap
-1.64
Sat 01/08 Fri 07/08 Sun 16/08 Fri 28/08 Wed 02/09 Sun 13/09 Fri 18/09 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 +0.13 +0.29 -2.52 -1.12 -1.81 -1.28 -1.64 +0.13 +0.16 -2.81 +1.40 -0.69 +0.53 -0.36 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
WSG Tirol: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sat 01/08 SK Sturm Graz 1 0.87 +0.13 +0.13
Fri 07/08 SC Rheindorf Altach 1 0.84 +0.16 +0.29
Sun 16/08 Red Bull Salzburg 0 2.81 -2.81 -2.52
Fri 28/08 SC Austria Lustenau 4 2.60 +1.40 -1.12
Wed 02/09 Austria Wien 1 1.69 -0.69 -1.81
Sun 13/09 TSV Hartberg 2 1.47 +0.53 -1.28
Fri 18/09 SK Rapid Wien 0 0.36 -0.36 -1.64

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

WSG Tirol xG trend

Current form -0.48 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 2 of 7 matches. The worst was against SK Rapid Wien on Fri 18/09 (-2.49).

npxG · last 6
1.24
npxGA · last 6
1.72
-3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 -1.53 Sat 01/08 -1.00 Fri 07/08 -1.15 Sun 16/08 +0.50 Fri 28/08 +1.31 Wed 02/09 -0.03 Sun 13/09 -2.49 Fri 18/09 -0.63 season avg
WSG Tirol: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sat 01/08 SK Sturm Graz 0.60 2.13 -1.53 -1.53
Fri 07/08 SC Rheindorf Altach 0.72 1.72 -1.00 -1.27
Sun 16/08 Red Bull Salzburg 2.47 3.62 -1.15 -1.23
Fri 28/08 SC Austria Lustenau 1.39 0.89 +0.50 -0.80
Wed 02/09 Austria Wien 1.83 0.52 +1.31 -0.37
Sun 13/09 TSV Hartberg 0.68 0.71 -0.03 -0.32
Fri 18/09 SK Rapid Wien 0.36 2.85 -2.49 -0.63

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.15 npxG and 1.78 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 6 hardest of 12 in Austrian Bundesliga
+0.04 xG vs league average
Over 7 league matches
Last 5
tied number 7 hardest of 12 in Austrian Bundesliga
+0.01 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.04 xG vs league average · over 7 matches · number 6 hardest of 12

  1. SK Rapid Wien Away +0.30
  2. TSV Hartberg Home −0.52
  3. Austria Wien Away −0.22
  4. SC Austria Lustenau Away −0.24
  5. Red Bull Salzburg Home +0.74
  6. SC Rheindorf Altach Away −0.18
  7. SK Sturm Graz Home +0.41

Last 5

+0.01 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · tied number 7 hardest of 12

  1. SK Rapid Wien Away +0.30
  2. TSV Hartberg Home −0.52
  3. Austria Wien Away −0.22
  4. SC Austria Lustenau Away −0.24
  5. Red Bull Salzburg Home +0.74

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

WSG Tirol shots and chance quality

Low volume, average quality. WSG Tirol take 11.0 shots a match (league 14.1) at 0.10 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #10 in Austrian Bundesliga for volume and #5 for quality. 62% of their shots come from inside the box (league 62%), and set pieces produce 46% of their npxG (league 27%).

Attack

Shot volume
11.0 shots per match
#10/12
Shot volume (shots per match) across Austrian Bundesliga, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 LASK 21.0
#2 Red Bull Salzburg 20.4
=3 SK Rapid Wien 16.1
=3 SK Sturm Graz 16.1
#5 SV Ried 15.6
#6 SC Austria Lustenau 14.1
#7 Grazer AK 1902 12.7
#8 Wolfsberger AC 11.9
#9 SC Rheindorf Altach 11.7
#10 WSG Tirol 11.0
#11 Austria Wien 9.6
#12 TSV Hartberg 9.0
League avg
14.1
Total
77 shots from 7 matches
Chance quality
0.10 npxG per shot
#5/12
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Austrian Bundesliga, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 SK Rapid Wien 0.13
#2 Red Bull Salzburg 0.13
#3 LASK 0.11
#4 SV Ried 0.11
#5 WSG Tirol 0.10
#6 SC Rheindorf Altach 0.10
#7 TSV Hartberg 0.10
#8 Wolfsberger AC 0.09
#9 SK Sturm Graz 0.09
#10 SC Austria Lustenau 0.08
#11 Grazer AK 1902 0.08
#12 Austria Wien 0.08
League avg
0.10
Total
8.05 npxG from 77 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
12.4 shots per match
#4/12
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Austrian Bundesliga, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 LASK 7.7
#2 Red Bull Salzburg 11.0
#3 SK Rapid Wien 12.1
#4 WSG Tirol 12.4
#5 Austria Wien 13.0
=6 SC Rheindorf Altach 13.9
=6 SK Sturm Graz 13.9
#8 SC Austria Lustenau 15.0
#9 Grazer AK 1902 16.1
#10 SV Ried 17.0
#11 Wolfsberger AC 17.6
#12 TSV Hartberg 19.6
League avg
14.1
Total
87 shots allowed from 7 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.14 npxGA per shot
#12/12
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Austrian Bundesliga, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 SK Sturm Graz 0.08
#2 SV Ried 0.09
#3 SK Rapid Wien 0.09
#4 TSV Hartberg 0.09
#5 SC Austria Lustenau 0.09
#6 Red Bull Salzburg 0.09
#7 SC Rheindorf Altach 0.09
#8 Grazer AK 1902 0.10
#9 LASK 0.10
#10 Wolfsberger AC 0.13
#11 Austria Wien 0.14
#12 WSG Tirol 0.14
League avg
0.10
Total
12.44 npxGA from 87 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

62% inside the box

League avg 62%

From 48 of 77 shots over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

67% allowed inside the box

League avg 62%

From 58 of 87 shots allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

54% open play · 46% set pieces

League avg 27% set pieces

From 3.7 of 8.0 npxG over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

81% open play · 19% set pieces

League avg 27% set pieces

From 2.3 of 12.4 npxG allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

WSG Tirol home and away xG

WSG Tirol per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 3 4
xG / match 1.72 1.37
xGA / match 2.17 1.45
xGD / match -0.45 -0.07
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.17 1.44

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every WSG Tirol match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

Away this season

Matches
4
xG / match
1.37
xGA / match
1.45
xGD / match
-0.07
Points
6 of 12
  1. Fri 18/09 SK Rapid Wien A xG 0.36 xGA 2.87 xGD -2.51
  2. Wed 02/09 Austria Wien A xG 1.69 xGA 0.51 xGD +1.18
  3. Fri 28/08 SC Austria Lustenau A xG 2.60 P xGA 0.93 xGD +1.67
  4. Fri 07/08 SC Rheindorf Altach A xG 0.84 xGA 1.48 xGD -0.64

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

WSG Tirol in Austrian Bundesliga

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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