1. FC Heidenheim 0:3 RB Leipzig: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Saturday, 24/01/2026 at 15:30

Full time

Match report · Bundesliga

1. FC Heidenheim Home 1.26 xG · 7 shots

RB Leipzig Away 1.69 xG · 11 shots

03 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

62' Ridle Baku RB Leipzig · 0.10 xG chance 0–1
68' Antonio Nusa RB Leipzig · 0.07 xG chance 0–2
70' David Raum RB Leipzig · 0.05 xG chance 0–3

The shots behind it

1. FC Heidenheim RB Leipzig

Shots: 7; 11
On target: 2; 8
Inside the box: 5; 10
xG per shot: 0.18; 0.16
Open play xG: 0.91; 1.71
Set-piece xG: 0.36; 0.00
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.26 for 1. FC Heidenheim and 1.69 for RB Leipzig.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

18 shots · 2.98 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

1. FC Heidenheim
RB Leipzig
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

1. FC Heidenheim

1.70 xG created 1.90 xGA

W 2.22 created, 0.84 conceded against SC Freiburg
L 2.44 created, 0.80 conceded against FC St. Pauli
L 1.04 created, 4.44 conceded against FC Bayern München
D 1.93 created, 2.99 conceded against 1. FC Köln
L 1.55 created, 1.39 conceded against 1. FSV Mainz 05
D 0.99 created, 0.92 conceded against VfL Wolfsburg

RB Leipzig

1.98 xG created 1.66 xGA

D 0.93 created, 0.42 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach
W 3.70 created, 0.65 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt
L 0.55 created, 1.42 conceded against 1. FC Union Berlin
L 1.77 created, 2.72 conceded against Bayer 04 Leverkusen
W 2.48 created, 0.17 conceded against SC Freiburg
L 2.45 created, 4.56 conceded against FC Bayern München

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

1. FC Heidenheim: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

RB Leipzig 2:0 1. FC Heidenheim 30/08/2025 xG 2.23 – 1.02

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.