1. FC Union Berlin 2:2 1. FSV Mainz 05: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Saturday, 10/01/2026 at 15:30

Full time

Match report · Bundesliga

1. FC Union Berlin Home 3.35 xG · 17 shots

1. FSV Mainz 05 Away 1.01 xG · 9 shots

22 1. FC Union Berlin had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

30' Nadiem Amiri 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 0.17 xG chance 0–1
69' Benedict Hollerbach 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 0.59 xG chance 0–2
77' Woo-Yeong Jeong 1. FC Union Berlin · 0.36 xG chance 1–2
86' Marin Ljubičić 1. FC Union Berlin · 1.00 xG chance 2–2

The shots behind it

1. FC Union Berlin 1. FSV Mainz 05

Shots: 17; 9
On target: 5; 6
Inside the box: 14; 8
xG per shot: 0.21; 0.11
Open play xG: 2.16; 0.97
Set-piece xG: 1.35; 0.05
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 3.50 for 1. FC Union Berlin and 1.01 for 1. FSV Mainz 05.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

26 shots · 4.53 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

1. FC Union Berlin
1. FSV Mainz 05
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

1. FC Union Berlin

1.15 xG created 0.77 xGA

D 0.80 created, 1.41 conceded against FC Bayern München
W 0.55 created, 0.72 conceded against FC St. Pauli
L 0.97 created, 0.59 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim
L 1.92 created, 0.81 conceded against VfL Wolfsburg
W 1.42 created, 0.55 conceded against RB Leipzig
W 1.26 created, 0.55 conceded against 1. FC Köln

1. FSV Mainz 05

0.83 xG created 2.31 xGA

L 0.16 created, 1.21 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt
D 2.03 created, 1.38 conceded against TSG Hoffenheim
L 0.11 created, 4.60 conceded against SC Freiburg
L 0.97 created, 1.85 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach
D 0.60 created, 4.50 conceded against FC Bayern München
D 1.12 created, 0.30 conceded against FC St. Pauli

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.