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Sunday, 21/12/2025 at 15:30

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Match report · Bundesliga

1. FSV Mainz 05 0:0 FC St. Pauli

1. FSV Mainz 05 Home 1.12 xG · 13 shots
FC St. Pauli Away 0.30 xG · 5 shots
00 1. FSV Mainz 05 had the better chances, but it finished level

The shots behind it

1. FSV Mainz 05 FC St. Pauli
Shots
13
5
On target
1
1
Inside the box
10
2
xG per shot
0.09
0.07
Open play xG
0.69
0.19
Set-piece xG
0.43
0.14
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.32 for FC St. Pauli.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

1. FSV Mainz 05 · Paul Nebel · 28' · No goal · 5 m · 0.27 xG 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Kacper Potulski · 40' · No goal · 5 m · 0.21 xG FC St. Pauli · Jackson Irvine · 36' · No goal · 15 m · 0.14 xG 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Silvan Widmer · 55' · No goal · 3 m · 0.12 xG FC St. Pauli · Joel Chima Fujita · 73' · No goal · 9 m · 0.11 xG 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Silvan Widmer · 67' · No goal · 13 m · 0.10 xG 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Dominik Kohr · 47' · No goal · 8 m · 0.09 xG 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Silvan Widmer · 62' · No goal · 11 m · 0.07 xG 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Nadiem Amiri · 31' · No goal · 12 m · 0.06 xG 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Jae-sung Lee · 57' · No goal · 15 m · 0.05 xG 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Nadiem Amiri · 65' · No goal · 27 m · 0.04 xG 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Danny da Costa · 81' · No goal · 21 m · 0.04 xG FC St. Pauli · Mathias Pereira Lage · 71' · No goal · 21 m · 0.03 xG FC St. Pauli · Jackson Irvine · 71' · No goal · 21 m · 0.03 xG 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Armindo Sieb · 90' · No goal · 8 m · 0.03 xG 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Paul Nebel · 28' · No goal · 14 m · 0.02 xG 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Jae-sung Lee · 34' · No goal · 19 m · 0.02 xG FC St. Pauli · Arkadiusz Pyrka · 71' · No goal · 22 m · 0.02 xG

All shots

18 shots · 1.45 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • 1. FSV Mainz 05
  • FC St. Pauli
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
1. FSV Mainz 05

0.88 xG created 2.43 xGA

  • D 1.42 created, 1.04 conceded against SV Werder Bremen
  • L 0.16 created, 1.21 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt
  • D 2.03 created, 1.38 conceded against TSG Hoffenheim
  • L 0.11 created, 4.60 conceded against SC Freiburg
  • L 0.97 created, 1.85 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach
  • D 0.60 created, 4.50 conceded against FC Bayern München
FC St. Pauli

0.62 xG created 1.71 xGA

  • L 0.88 created, 2.32 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach
  • L 0.53 created, 1.02 conceded against SC Freiburg
  • L 0.72 created, 0.55 conceded against 1. FC Union Berlin
  • L 0.64 created, 2.30 conceded against FC Bayern München
  • D 0.14 created, 1.66 conceded against 1. FC Köln
  • W 0.80 created, 2.44 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.