VfL Wolfsburg 3:1 1. FC Union Berlin: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Saturday, 06/12/2025 at 15:30

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Match report · Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg Home 0.81 xG · 4 shots

1. FC Union Berlin Away 1.92 xG · 21 shots

31 The result went against the chances

Goals

10' Patrick Wimmer VfL Wolfsburg · 0.10 xG chance 1–0
30' Mohamed Amoura VfL Wolfsburg · 0.26 xG chance 2–0
59' Lovro Majer VfL Wolfsburg · 0.23 xG chance 3–0
68' Stanley Nsoki 1. FC Union Berlin · 0.04 xG chance 3–1

The shots behind it

VfL Wolfsburg 1. FC Union Berlin

Shots: 4; 21
On target: 3; 6
Inside the box: 3; 17
xG per shot: 0.17; 0.09
Open play xG: 0.69; 0.59
Set-piece xG: 0.00; 0.53
Penalties: 0; 1

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.70 for VfL Wolfsburg and 1.13 for 1. FC Union Berlin.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

25 shots · 2.63 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

VfL Wolfsburg
1. FC Union Berlin
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

VfL Wolfsburg

1.13 xG created 1.67 xGA

L 0.32 created, 1.90 conceded against VfB Stuttgart
W 0.37 created, 2.77 conceded against Hamburger SV
L 1.54 created, 1.23 conceded against TSG Hoffenheim
L 0.57 created, 1.45 conceded against SV Werder Bremen
L 2.13 created, 1.10 conceded against Bayer 04 Leverkusen
D 1.86 created, 1.59 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt

1. FC Union Berlin

0.88 xG created 0.91 xGA

W 1.23 created, 0.63 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach
L 0.58 created, 0.95 conceded against SV Werder Bremen
D 1.16 created, 1.17 conceded against SC Freiburg
D 0.80 created, 1.41 conceded against FC Bayern München
W 0.55 created, 0.72 conceded against FC St. Pauli
L 0.97 created, 0.59 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.