xgEdge

Saturday, 01/11/2025 at 15:30

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Match report · Bundesliga

1. FSV Mainz 05 1:1 SV Werder Bremen

1. FSV Mainz 05 Home 1.42 xG · 10 shots
SV Werder Bremen Away 1.04 xG · 5 shots
11 1. FSV Mainz 05 had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

  1. 36' Silvan Widmer 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 0.46 xG chance 1–0
  2. 86' Jens Stage SV Werder Bremen · 0.06 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

1. FSV Mainz 05 SV Werder Bremen
Shots
10
5
On target
5
3
Inside the box
7
5
xG per shot
0.14
0.21
Open play xG
1.22
0.82
Set-piece xG
0.20
0.21
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.04 for SV Werder Bremen.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

1. FSV Mainz 05 · Silvan Widmer · 36' · Goal · 7 m · 0.46 xG SV Werder Bremen · Justin Njinmah · 65' · No goal · 14 m · 0.35 xG SV Werder Bremen · Marco Grüll · 13' · No goal · 14 m · 0.30 xG 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Silvan Widmer · 36' · No goal · 9 m · 0.30 xG 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Lennard Maloney · 47' · No goal · 3 m · 0.19 xG SV Werder Bremen · Jens Stage · 90' · No goal · 12 m · 0.17 xG 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Phillipp Mwene · 24' · No goal · 12 m · 0.15 xG SV Werder Bremen · Amos Pieper · 65' · No goal · 11 m · 0.15 xG 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Silvan Widmer · 19' · No goal · 10 m · 0.09 xG 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Nadiem Amiri · 5' · No goal · 18 m · 0.08 xG 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Jae-sung Lee · 40' · No goal · 0 m · 0.07 xG SV Werder Bremen · Jens Stage · 86' · Goal · 8 m · 0.06 xG 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Jae-sung Lee · 6' · No goal · 11 m · 0.05 xG 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Benedict Hollerbach · 57' · No goal · 22 m · 0.02 xG 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Nadiem Amiri · 23' · No goal · 29 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

15 shots · 2.45 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • 1. FSV Mainz 05
  • SV Werder Bremen
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
1. FSV Mainz 05

1.28 xG created 1.95 xGA

  • L 0.90 created, 1.79 conceded against RB Leipzig
  • W 2.52 created, 1.12 conceded against FC Augsburg
  • L 0.48 created, 1.44 conceded against Borussia Dortmund
  • L 0.67 created, 1.91 conceded against Hamburger SV
  • L 1.66 created, 3.48 conceded against Bayer 04 Leverkusen
  • L 1.45 created, 1.94 conceded against VfB Stuttgart
SV Werder Bremen

1.31 xG created 1.95 xGA

  • W 2.09 created, 1.48 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach
  • L 1.22 created, 2.42 conceded against SC Freiburg
  • L 0.41 created, 3.46 conceded against FC Bayern München
  • W 1.86 created, 0.76 conceded against FC St. Pauli
  • D 1.33 created, 3.00 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim
  • W 0.95 created, 0.58 conceded against 1. FC Union Berlin

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.