1. FSV Mainz 05 2:0 FC Augsburg: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Saturday, 07/02/2026 at 15:30

Full time

Match report · Bundesliga

1. FSV Mainz 05 Home 2.31 xG · 10 shots

FC Augsburg Away 0.70 xG · 14 shots

20 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

8' Nadiem Amiri (pen.) 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 0.82 xG chance 1–0
80' Nadiem Amiri (pen.) 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 0.82 xG chance 2–0

The shots behind it

1. FSV Mainz 05 FC Augsburg

Shots: 10; 14
On target: 6; 6
Inside the box: 9; 7
xG per shot: 0.23; 0.05
Open play xG: 0.49; 0.55
Set-piece xG: 0.21; 0.13
Penalties: 2; 0

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.73 for 1. FSV Mainz 05 and 0.70 for FC Augsburg.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

24 shots · 3.02 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

1. FSV Mainz 05
FC Augsburg
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

1. FSV Mainz 05

1.90 xG created 1.56 xGA

D 1.12 created, 0.30 conceded against FC St. Pauli
D 1.01 created, 3.35 conceded against 1. FC Union Berlin
W 1.39 created, 1.55 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim
L 1.52 created, 2.08 conceded against 1. FC Köln
W 4.04 created, 0.67 conceded against VfL Wolfsburg
W 2.33 created, 1.43 conceded against RB Leipzig

FC Augsburg

1.09 xG created 1.66 xGA

D 1.03 created, 0.60 conceded against SV Werder Bremen
L 1.79 created, 2.99 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach
D 0.55 created, 1.31 conceded against 1. FC Union Berlin
D 0.85 created, 1.16 conceded against SC Freiburg
W 0.94 created, 1.48 conceded against FC Bayern München
W 1.35 created, 2.43 conceded against FC St. Pauli

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

1. FSV Mainz 05: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

FC Augsburg 1:4 1. FSV Mainz 05 20/09/2025 xG 1.12 – 2.52

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.