Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1:1 Hamburger SV: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Saturday, 16/05/2026 at 15:30

Full time

Match report · Bundesliga

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Home 3.27 xG · 26 shots

Hamburger SV Away 1.79 xG · 19 shots

11 Bayer 04 Leverkusen had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

61' Fábio Vieira Hamburger SV · 0.07 xG chance 0–1
78' Jarell Quansah Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 0.10 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Hamburger SV

Shots: 26; 19
On target: 9; 6
Inside the box: 19; 11
xG per shot: 0.13; 0.10
Open play xG: 1.57; 1.57
Set-piece xG: 0.99; 0.25
Penalties: 1; 0

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.53 for Bayer 04 Leverkusen and 1.79 for Hamburger SV.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

45 shots · 5.20 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Hamburger SV
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

2.50 xG created 1.98 xGA

W 4.25 created, 2.02 conceded against VfL Wolfsburg
W 0.63 created, 1.30 conceded against Borussia Dortmund
L 3.80 created, 1.33 conceded against FC Augsburg
W 1.33 created, 3.04 conceded against 1. FC Köln
W 4.42 created, 1.17 conceded against RB Leipzig
L 0.54 created, 3.04 conceded against VfB Stuttgart

Hamburger SV

1.14 xG created 1.67 xGA

D 1.59 created, 2.29 conceded against FC Augsburg
L 0.71 created, 3.48 conceded against VfB Stuttgart
L 0.57 created, 1.74 conceded against SV Werder Bremen
L 1.37 created, 1.45 conceded against TSG Hoffenheim
W 0.62 created, 0.65 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt
W 1.98 created, 0.41 conceded against SC Freiburg

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Hamburger SV 0:1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 04/03/2026 xG 1.27 – 1.93

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.