RB Leipzig 2:1 FC Augsburg: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Saturday, 07/03/2026 at 15:30

Full time

Match report · Bundesliga

RB Leipzig Home 2.26 xG · 18 shots

FC Augsburg Away 2.88 xG · 16 shots

21 The result went against the chances

Goals

39' Robin Fellhauer FC Augsburg · 0.38 xG chance 0–1
76' Yan Diomande RB Leipzig · 0.35 xG chance 1–1
90' Arthur Chaves (o.g.) RB Leipzig · 0.10 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

RB Leipzig FC Augsburg

Shots: 18; 16
On target: 9; 5
Inside the box: 13; 13
xG per shot: 0.13; 0.19
Open play xG: 1.63; 1.54
Set-piece xG: 0.63; 0.61
Penalties: 0; 1

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.19 for FC Augsburg.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

34 shots · 5.23 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

RB Leipzig
FC Augsburg
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

RB Leipzig

1.94 xG created 1.23 xGA

D 1.09 created, 1.45 conceded against FC St. Pauli
L 1.43 created, 2.33 conceded against 1. FSV Mainz 05
W 1.92 created, 1.05 conceded against 1. FC Köln
D 2.69 created, 0.62 conceded against VfL Wolfsburg
D 1.81 created, 1.39 conceded against Borussia Dortmund
W 2.70 created, 0.55 conceded against Hamburger SV

FC Augsburg

1.39 xG created 1.54 xGA

W 0.94 created, 1.48 conceded against FC Bayern München
W 1.35 created, 2.43 conceded against FC St. Pauli
L 0.70 created, 2.31 conceded against 1. FSV Mainz 05
W 1.91 created, 0.97 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim
W 1.79 created, 1.59 conceded against VfL Wolfsburg
W 1.65 created, 0.48 conceded against 1. FC Köln

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

RB Leipzig: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

FC Augsburg 0:6 RB Leipzig 25/10/2025 xG 0.73 – 2.77

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.