xgEdge

Friday, 27/02/2026 at 20:30

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Match report · Bundesliga

FC Augsburg 2:0 1. FC Köln

FC Augsburg Home 1.65 xG · 14 shots
1. FC Köln Away 0.48 xG · 10 shots
20 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 55' Rodrigo Ribeiro FC Augsburg · 0.29 xG chance 1–0
  2. 90' Alexis Claude-Maurice FC Augsburg · 0.69 xG chance 2–0

The shots behind it

FC Augsburg 1. FC Köln
Shots
14
10
On target
4
3
Inside the box
8
9
xG per shot
0.12
0.05
Open play xG
1.59
0.19
Set-piece xG
0.09
0.28
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.65 for FC Augsburg and 0.48 for 1. FC Köln.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

FC Augsburg · Alexis Claude-Maurice · 90' · Goal · 39 m · 0.69 xG FC Augsburg · Rodrigo Ribeiro · 55' · Goal · 3 m · 0.29 xG FC Augsburg · Alexis Claude-Maurice · 83' · No goal · 7 m · 0.17 xG 1. FC Köln · Jahmai Simpson-Pusey · 36' · No goal · 7 m · 0.12 xG FC Augsburg · Alexis Claude-Maurice · 81' · No goal · 14 m · 0.10 xG FC Augsburg · Alexis Claude-Maurice · 64' · No goal · 12 m · 0.08 xG FC Augsburg · Keven Schlotterbeck · 81' · No goal · 19 m · 0.08 xG 1. FC Köln · Felipe Chávez · 89' · No goal · 18 m · 0.07 xG 1. FC Köln · Cenk Özkaçar · 8' · No goal · 9 m · 0.06 xG FC Augsburg · Rodrigo Ribeiro · 10' · No goal · 20 m · 0.06 xG 1. FC Köln · Kristoffer Lund · 37' · No goal · 16 m · 0.05 xG FC Augsburg · Mert Kömür · 42' · No goal · 13 m · 0.05 xG FC Augsburg · Rodrigo Ribeiro · 4' · No goal · 15 m · 0.04 xG 1. FC Köln · Eric Martel · 38' · No goal · 12 m · 0.04 xG FC Augsburg · Noahkai Banks · 10' · No goal · 4 m · 0.03 xG 1. FC Köln · Jakub Kamiński · 36' · No goal · 8 m · 0.03 xG FC Augsburg · Mert Kömür · 44' · No goal · 21 m · 0.03 xG 1. FC Köln · Kristoffer Lund · 48' · No goal · 8 m · 0.03 xG 1. FC Köln · Luca Waldschmidt · 59' · No goal · 15 m · 0.03 xG 1. FC Köln · Cenk Özkaçar · 90' · No goal · 8 m · 0.03 xG FC Augsburg · Noahkai Banks · 7' · No goal · 9 m · 0.02 xG FC Augsburg · Robin Fellhauer · 42' · No goal · 25 m · 0.02 xG FC Augsburg · Alexis Claude-Maurice · 65' · No goal · 22 m · 0.02 xG 1. FC Köln · Jahmai Simpson-Pusey · 76' · No goal · 12 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

24 shots · 2.15 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • FC Augsburg
  • 1. FC Köln
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
FC Augsburg

1.26 xG created 1.66 xGA

  • D 0.85 created, 1.16 conceded against SC Freiburg
  • W 0.94 created, 1.48 conceded against FC Bayern München
  • W 1.35 created, 2.43 conceded against FC St. Pauli
  • L 0.70 created, 2.31 conceded against 1. FSV Mainz 05
  • W 1.91 created, 0.97 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim
  • W 1.79 created, 1.59 conceded against VfL Wolfsburg
1. FC Köln

1.39 xG created 1.78 xGA

  • W 2.08 created, 1.52 conceded against 1. FSV Mainz 05
  • L 1.29 created, 2.23 conceded against SC Freiburg
  • W 1.24 created, 1.27 conceded against VfL Wolfsburg
  • L 1.05 created, 1.92 conceded against RB Leipzig
  • L 1.59 created, 2.24 conceded against VfB Stuttgart
  • D 1.07 created, 1.47 conceded against TSG Hoffenheim

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

FC Augsburg: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.