TSG Hoffenheim 1:1 VfL Wolfsburg: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Saturday, 14/03/2026 at 15:30

Full time

Match report · Bundesliga

TSG Hoffenheim Home 1.86 xG · 20 shots

VfL Wolfsburg Away 0.27 xG · 4 shots

11 TSG Hoffenheim had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

64' Konstantinos Koulierakis VfL Wolfsburg · 0.11 xG chance 0–1
83' Grischa Prömel TSG Hoffenheim · 0.13 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

TSG Hoffenheim VfL Wolfsburg

Shots: 20; 4
On target: 6; 2
Inside the box: 12; 3
xG per shot: 0.10; 0.06
Open play xG: 1.32; 0.08
Set-piece xG: 0.61; 0.16
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.93 for TSG Hoffenheim and 0.25 for VfL Wolfsburg.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

24 shots · 2.17 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

TSG Hoffenheim
VfL Wolfsburg
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

TSG Hoffenheim

1.95 xG created 1.82 xGA

W 1.37 created, 1.61 conceded against 1. FC Union Berlin
L 2.03 created, 5.60 conceded against FC Bayern München
W 1.80 created, 0.77 conceded against SC Freiburg
D 1.47 created, 1.07 conceded against 1. FC Köln
L 2.71 created, 0.78 conceded against FC St. Pauli
W 2.34 created, 1.07 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim

VfL Wolfsburg

1.26 xG created 1.98 xGA

L 1.27 created, 1.24 conceded against 1. FC Köln
L 1.45 created, 1.27 conceded against Borussia Dortmund
D 0.62 created, 2.69 conceded against RB Leipzig
L 1.59 created, 1.79 conceded against FC Augsburg
L 0.80 created, 3.06 conceded against VfB Stuttgart
L 1.84 created, 1.82 conceded against Hamburger SV

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

TSG Hoffenheim: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

VfL Wolfsburg 2:3 TSG Hoffenheim 02/11/2025 xG 1.54 – 1.23

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.