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Friday, 30/01/2026 at 20:30

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Match report · Bundesliga

1. FC Köln 1:0 VfL Wolfsburg

1. FC Köln Home 1.24 xG · 15 shots
VfL Wolfsburg Away 1.27 xG · 14 shots
10 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

  1. 29' Linton Maina 1. FC Köln · 0.03 xG chance 1–0

The shots behind it

1. FC Köln VfL Wolfsburg
Shots
15
14
On target
3
3
Inside the box
11
9
xG per shot
0.08
0.09
Open play xG
1.18
1.06
Set-piece xG
0.09
0.20
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.24 for 1. FC Köln and 1.27 for VfL Wolfsburg.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

1. FC Köln · Said El Mala · 90' · No goal · 9 m · 0.53 xG 1. FC Köln · Ragnar Ache · 18' · No goal · 7 m · 0.26 xG VfL Wolfsburg · Kento Shiogai · 90' · No goal · 4 m · 0.23 xG VfL Wolfsburg · Adam Daghim · 90' · No goal · 10 m · 0.15 xG VfL Wolfsburg · Adam Daghim · 53' · No goal · 5 m · 0.14 xG VfL Wolfsburg · Patrick Wimmer · 37' · No goal · 4 m · 0.10 xG VfL Wolfsburg · Adam Daghim · 73' · No goal · 12 m · 0.10 xG VfL Wolfsburg · Adam Daghim · 76' · No goal · 7 m · 0.09 xG VfL Wolfsburg · Dženan Pejčinović · 87' · No goal · 19 m · 0.09 xG 1. FC Köln · Kristoffer Lund · 18' · No goal · 18 m · 0.08 xG VfL Wolfsburg · Christian Eriksen · 24' · No goal · 41 m · 0.08 xG VfL Wolfsburg · Yannick Gerhardt · 82' · No goal · 14 m · 0.07 xG VfL Wolfsburg · Kento Shiogai · 88' · No goal · 20 m · 0.07 xG 1. FC Köln · Linton Maina · 68' · No goal · 13 m · 0.06 xG VfL Wolfsburg · Yannick Gerhardt · 76' · No goal · 11 m · 0.06 xG VfL Wolfsburg · Christian Eriksen · 27' · No goal · 21 m · 0.05 xG 1. FC Köln · Marius Bülter · 39' · No goal · 11 m · 0.05 xG 1. FC Köln · Kristoffer Lund · 25' · No goal · 9 m · 0.04 xG 1. FC Köln · Kristoffer Lund · 39' · No goal · 19 m · 0.04 xG 1. FC Köln · Said El Mala · 80' · No goal · 14 m · 0.04 xG 1. FC Köln · Eric Martel · 22' · No goal · 22 m · 0.03 xG 1. FC Köln · Linton Maina · 29' · Goal · 20 m · 0.03 xG 1. FC Köln · Jakub Kamiński · 36' · No goal · 13 m · 0.03 xG 1. FC Köln · Tom Krauß · 43' · No goal · 13 m · 0.03 xG VfL Wolfsburg · Patrick Wimmer · 3' · No goal · 7 m · 0.02 xG 1. FC Köln · Linton Maina · 33' · No goal · 13 m · 0.02 xG 1. FC Köln · Marius Bülter · 61' · No goal · 3 m · 0.02 xG VfL Wolfsburg · Maximilian Arnold · 20' · No goal · 30 m · 0.01 xG 1. FC Köln · Ragnar Ache · 26' · No goal · 12 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

29 shots · 2.53 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • 1. FC Köln
  • VfL Wolfsburg
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
1. FC Köln

1.31 xG created 1.75 xGA

  • L 0.20 created, 2.07 conceded against Bayer 04 Leverkusen
  • L 0.55 created, 1.26 conceded against 1. FC Union Berlin
  • D 2.99 created, 1.93 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim
  • L 0.72 created, 1.50 conceded against FC Bayern München
  • W 2.08 created, 1.52 conceded against 1. FSV Mainz 05
  • L 1.29 created, 2.23 conceded against SC Freiburg
VfL Wolfsburg

1.37 xG created 2.26 xGA

  • W 1.72 created, 0.80 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach
  • L 1.66 created, 3.53 conceded against SC Freiburg
  • L 1.36 created, 3.30 conceded against FC Bayern München
  • W 1.88 created, 0.89 conceded against FC St. Pauli
  • D 0.92 created, 0.99 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim
  • L 0.67 created, 4.04 conceded against 1. FSV Mainz 05

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

1. FC Köln: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.