VfL Wolfsburg 2:3 TSG Hoffenheim: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Sunday, 02/11/2025 at 17:30

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Match report · Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg Home 1.54 xG · 12 shots

TSG Hoffenheim Away 1.23 xG · 10 shots

23 The result went against the chances

Goals

14' Mohamed Amoura VfL Wolfsburg · 0.77 xG chance 1–0
31' Wouter Burger TSG Hoffenheim · 0.23 xG chance 1–1
50' Grischa Prömel TSG Hoffenheim · 0.25 xG chance 1–2
56' Mohamed Amoura VfL Wolfsburg · 0.44 xG chance 2–2
62' Wouter Burger TSG Hoffenheim · 0.10 xG chance 2–3

The shots behind it

VfL Wolfsburg TSG Hoffenheim

Shots: 12; 10
On target: 6; 4
Inside the box: 6; 7
xG per shot: 0.13; 0.11
Open play xG: 1.46; 0.96
Set-piece xG: 0.08; 0.10
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.02 for TSG Hoffenheim.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

22 shots · 2.60 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

VfL Wolfsburg
TSG Hoffenheim
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

VfL Wolfsburg

1.20 xG created 1.92 xGA

D 1.50 created, 1.65 conceded against 1. FC Köln
L 0.80 created, 1.10 conceded against Borussia Dortmund
L 3.05 created, 2.41 conceded against RB Leipzig
L 1.19 created, 1.71 conceded against FC Augsburg
L 0.32 created, 1.90 conceded against VfB Stuttgart
W 0.37 created, 2.77 conceded against Hamburger SV

TSG Hoffenheim

1.98 xG created 1.66 xGA

W 2.76 created, 2.59 conceded against 1. FC Union Berlin
L 0.75 created, 3.04 conceded against FC Bayern München
D 2.54 created, 1.31 conceded against SC Freiburg
L 1.12 created, 0.94 conceded against 1. FC Köln
W 2.34 created, 0.99 conceded against FC St. Pauli
W 2.37 created, 1.11 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.