xgEdge

Sunday, 04/01/2026 at 13:00

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Match report · Championship

Birmingham City 3:2 Coventry City

Birmingham City Home 1.27 xG · 9 shots
Coventry City Away 1.33 xG · 17 shots
32 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

  1. 6' Marvin Ducksch Birmingham City · 0.23 xG chance 1–0
  2. 8' Josh Eccles Coventry City · 0.03 xG chance 1–1
  3. 17' Lewis Koumas Birmingham City · 0.42 xG chance 2–1
  4. 60' Ellis Simms Coventry City · 0.08 xG chance 2–2
  5. 63' Marvin Ducksch Birmingham City · 0.09 xG chance 3–2

The shots behind it

Birmingham City Coventry City
Shots
9
17
On target
4
6
Inside the box
6
11
xG per shot
0.13
0.08
Open play xG
1.07
1.02
Set-piece xG
0.14
0.31
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.22 for Birmingham City.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Birmingham City · Lewis Koumas · 17' · Goal · 3 m · 0.42 xG Coventry City · Ellis Simms · 34' · No goal · 13 m · 0.29 xG Birmingham City · Marvin Ducksch · 27' · No goal · 11 m · 0.24 xG Birmingham City · Marvin Ducksch · 6' · Goal · 11 m · 0.23 xG Coventry City · Liam Kitching · 14' · No goal · 8 m · 0.18 xG Coventry City · Ephron Mason-Clark · 24' · No goal · 6 m · 0.14 xG Coventry City · Ellis Simms · 13' · No goal · 4 m · 0.14 xG Coventry City · Ellis Simms · 83' · No goal · 8 m · 0.11 xG Birmingham City · Marvin Ducksch · 63' · Goal · 7 m · 0.09 xG Coventry City · Ellis Simms · 60' · Goal · 19 m · 0.08 xG Birmingham City · Tomoki Iwata · 70' · No goal · 11 m · 0.08 xG Birmingham City · Jay Stansfield · 33' · No goal · 18 m · 0.07 xG Coventry City · Ellis Simms · 50' · No goal · 8 m · 0.06 xG Coventry City · Haji Wright · 75' · No goal · 16 m · 0.06 xG Birmingham City · Jay Stansfield · 70' · No goal · 15 m · 0.05 xG Coventry City · Josh Eccles · 89' · No goal · 11 m · 0.05 xG Coventry City · Ephron Mason-Clark · 13' · No goal · 26 m · 0.04 xG Coventry City · Matt Grimes · 30' · No goal · 22 m · 0.03 xG Coventry City · Milan van Ewijk · 83' · No goal · 13 m · 0.03 xG Coventry City · Jack Rudoni · 65' · No goal · 17 m · 0.03 xG Coventry City · Liam Kitching · 48' · No goal · 11 m · 0.03 xG Coventry City · Josh Eccles · 8' · Goal · 28 m · 0.03 xG Birmingham City · Kyogo Furuhashi · 90' · No goal · 26 m · 0.02 xG Coventry City · Ephron Mason-Clark · 53' · No goal · 27 m · 0.02 xG Birmingham City · Kai Wagner · 62' · No goal · 24 m · 0.02 xG Coventry City · Matt Grimes · 40' · No goal · 21 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

26 shots · 2.54 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Birmingham City
  • Coventry City
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Birmingham City

1.21 xG created 1.52 xGA

  • L 0.31 created, 1.51 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
  • D 1.24 created, 1.12 conceded against Charlton Athletic
  • L 0.65 created, 2.80 conceded against Sheffield United
  • D 2.98 created, 0.79 conceded against Derby County
  • D 1.70 created, 1.36 conceded against Southampton
  • L 0.40 created, 1.56 conceded against Watford
Coventry City

1.37 xG created 1.13 xGA

  • D 1.95 created, 0.29 conceded against Preston North End
  • W 2.11 created, 1.34 conceded against Bristol City
  • D 0.48 created, 1.32 conceded against Southampton
  • W 1.30 created, 1.22 conceded against Swansea City
  • L 0.80 created, 1.14 conceded against Ipswich Town
  • D 1.55 created, 1.46 conceded against Charlton Athletic

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Birmingham City: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.