xgEdge

Monday, 29/12/2025 at 21:15

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Match report · Championship

Birmingham City 1:1 Southampton

Birmingham City Home 1.70 xG · 20 shots
Southampton Away 1.36 xG · 13 shots
11 Birmingham City had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

  1. 49' Phil Neumann Birmingham City · 0.12 xG chance 1–0
  2. 71' Cameron Archer Southampton · 0.18 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Birmingham City Southampton
Shots
20
13
On target
4
5
Inside the box
11
9
xG per shot
0.09
0.10
Open play xG
1.01
1.09
Set-piece xG
0.69
0.25
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.36 for Southampton.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Birmingham City · Kyogo Furuhashi · 8' · No goal · 10 m · 0.55 xG Birmingham City · Phil Neumann · 49' · No goal · 5 m · 0.25 xG Southampton · Adam Armstrong · 26' · No goal · 10 m · 0.23 xG Southampton · Taylor Harwood-Bellis · 46' · No goal · 7 m · 0.22 xG Southampton · Adam Armstrong · 34' · No goal · 10 m · 0.18 xG Southampton · Cameron Archer · 71' · Goal · 6 m · 0.18 xG Birmingham City · Kyogo Furuhashi · 42' · No goal · 8 m · 0.13 xG Birmingham City · Phil Neumann · 49' · Goal · 7 m · 0.12 xG Southampton · Adam Armstrong · 3' · No goal · 14 m · 0.11 xG Southampton · Finn Azaz · 81' · No goal · 18 m · 0.10 xG Birmingham City · Willum Thor Willumsson · 53' · No goal · 13 m · 0.09 xG Birmingham City · Eiran Cashin · 42' · No goal · 4 m · 0.08 xG Southampton · Finn Azaz · 3' · No goal · 5 m · 0.08 xG Birmingham City · Patrick Roberts · 18' · No goal · 6 m · 0.08 xG Southampton · Caspar Jander · 67' · No goal · 19 m · 0.06 xG Birmingham City · Jay Stansfield · 16' · No goal · 20 m · 0.05 xG Southampton · Kuryu Matsuki · 88' · No goal · 14 m · 0.05 xG Birmingham City · Jay Stansfield · 49' · No goal · 10 m · 0.05 xG Birmingham City · Jay Stansfield · 53' · No goal · 24 m · 0.05 xG Birmingham City · Willum Thor Willumsson · 18' · No goal · 7 m · 0.05 xG Birmingham City · Seung Ho Paik · 44' · No goal · 13 m · 0.04 xG Southampton · Jay Robinson · 39' · No goal · 13 m · 0.04 xG Southampton · Tom Fellows · 4' · No goal · 21 m · 0.04 xG Birmingham City · Willum Thor Willumsson · 70' · No goal · 11 m · 0.04 xG Southampton · Leo Scienza · 67' · No goal · 22 m · 0.03 xG Southampton · Taylor Harwood-Bellis · 64' · No goal · 14 m · 0.03 xG Birmingham City · Eiran Cashin · 27' · No goal · 26 m · 0.02 xG Birmingham City · Jay Stansfield · 7' · No goal · 22 m · 0.02 xG Birmingham City · Tomoki Iwata · 11' · No goal · 24 m · 0.02 xG Birmingham City · Kyogo Furuhashi · 52' · No goal · 20 m · 0.02 xG Birmingham City · Seung Ho Paik · 15' · No goal · 33 m · 0.02 xG Birmingham City · Jack Robinson · 20' · No goal · 9 m · 0.01 xG Birmingham City · Jay Stansfield · 22' · No goal · 21 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

33 shots · 3.04 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Birmingham City
  • Southampton
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Birmingham City

1.41 xG created 1.56 xGA

  • W 1.26 created, 1.03 conceded against Watford
  • L 2.01 created, 2.08 conceded against Southampton
  • L 0.31 created, 1.51 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
  • D 1.24 created, 1.12 conceded against Charlton Athletic
  • L 0.65 created, 2.80 conceded against Sheffield United
  • D 2.98 created, 0.79 conceded against Derby County
Southampton

1.52 xG created 1.32 xGA

  • L 1.20 created, 1.83 conceded against Millwall
  • W 2.08 created, 2.01 conceded against Birmingham City
  • W 0.97 created, 1.34 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
  • L 2.12 created, 1.33 conceded against Norwich City
  • D 1.32 created, 0.48 conceded against Coventry City
  • L 1.44 created, 0.91 conceded against Oxford United

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Birmingham City: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.