Queens Park Rangers 2:1 Birmingham City: xG & match report · Championship

Tuesday, 09/12/2025 at 21:00

Full time

Match report · Championship

Queens Park Rangers Home 1.51 xG · 16 shots

Birmingham City Away 0.31 xG · 3 shots

21 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

40' Jimmy Dunne Queens Park Rangers · 0.16 xG chance 1–0
90' Kieran Morgan Queens Park Rangers · 0.02 xG chance – Scored in the same minute as another goal, so the score after it is not shown.
90' Patrick Roberts Birmingham City · 0.19 xG chance – Scored in the same minute as another goal, so the score after it is not shown.

The shots behind it

Queens Park Rangers Birmingham City

Shots: 16; 3
On target: 3; 1
Inside the box: 10; 3
xG per shot: 0.09; 0.11
Open play xG: 1.11; 0.32
Set-piece xG: 0.38; 0.00
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.51 for Queens Park Rangers and 0.31 for Birmingham City.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

19 shots · 1.81 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Queens Park Rangers
Birmingham City
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Queens Park Rangers

1.55 xG created 1.14 xGA

L 1.68 created, 0.68 conceded against Southampton
D 0.65 created, 1.41 conceded against Sheffield United
W 3.02 created, 1.12 conceded against Hull City
W 0.92 created, 0.86 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
L 1.02 created, 1.31 conceded against Norwich City
W 2.00 created, 1.48 conceded against West Bromwich Albion

Birmingham City

1.79 xG created 0.98 xGA

W 1.74 created, 0.12 conceded against Millwall
L 1.20 created, 0.61 conceded against Middlesbrough
W 3.56 created, 1.28 conceded against Norwich City
D 0.99 created, 0.77 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
W 1.26 created, 1.03 conceded against Watford
L 2.01 created, 2.08 conceded against Southampton

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.