Friday, 26/12/2025 at 13:30
Full timeBirmingham City 1:1 Derby County
Goals
- 27' Patrick Agyemang Derby County · 0.49 xG chance 0–1
- 64' Jack Robinson Birmingham City · 0.93 xG chance 1–1
The shots behind it
- Shots
- 25
- 5
- On target
- 9
- 1
- Inside the box
- 18
- 3
- xG per shot
- 0.13
- 0.16
- Open play xG
- 1.62
- 0.65
- Set-piece xG
- 1.60
- 0.15
- Penalties
- —
- —
Birmingham City's shots add up to 3.22 xG and Derby County's to 0.81; the published figures are 2.98 and 0.79.
Shot map
Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.
All shots
30 shots · 4.03 xG
Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.
- Birmingham City
- Derby County
- Filled = goal
- Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)
Recent form
1.08 xG created 1.55 xGA
- D 0.99 created, 0.77 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
- W 1.26 created, 1.03 conceded against Watford
- L 2.01 created, 2.08 conceded against Southampton
- L 0.31 created, 1.51 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
- D 1.24 created, 1.12 conceded against Charlton Athletic
- L 0.65 created, 2.80 conceded against Sheffield United
1.17 xG created 0.77 xGA
- W 1.05 created, 0.63 conceded against Swansea City
- L 0.92 created, 1.53 conceded against Middlesbrough
- L 1.43 created, 1.20 conceded against Leicester City
- D 1.20 created, 0.91 conceded against Millwall
- W 1.64 created, 0.18 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
- D 0.79 created, 0.15 conceded against Portsmouth
xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result
Model details
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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.
Limitations
The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.