Blackburn Rovers 1:1 Portsmouth: xG & match report · Championship

Saturday, 07/03/2026 at 13:30

Full time

Match report · Championship

Blackburn Rovers Home 1.20 xG · 10 shots

Portsmouth Away 0.62 xG · 14 shots

11 Blackburn Rovers had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

84' Connor Ogilvie Portsmouth · 0.12 xG chance 0–1
90' Hayden Carter Blackburn Rovers · 0.14 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Blackburn Rovers Portsmouth

Shots: 10; 14
On target: 1; 1
Inside the box: 7; 9
xG per shot: 0.12; 0.04
Open play xG: 1.17; 0.19
Set-piece xG: 0.06; 0.44
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.20 for Blackburn Rovers and 0.62 for Portsmouth.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

24 shots · 1.86 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Blackburn Rovers
Portsmouth
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Blackburn Rovers

1.10 xG created 1.00 xGA

W 0.90 created, 0.34 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
L 0.26 created, 1.57 conceded against Norwich City
W 1.52 created, 1.72 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
W 1.06 created, 0.12 conceded against Preston North End
L 2.20 created, 0.78 conceded against Bristol City
L 0.65 created, 1.44 conceded against Derby County

Portsmouth

1.27 xG created 0.61 xGA

L 1.23 created, 0.58 conceded against Preston North End
L 2.50 created, 0.99 conceded against Sheffield United
W 1.14 created, 0.80 conceded against Charlton Athletic
W 1.22 created, 0.42 conceded against Millwall
L 0.53 created, 0.54 conceded against Wrexham
L 1.02 created, 0.34 conceded against Hull City

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Blackburn Rovers: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Portsmouth 2:1 Blackburn Rovers 13/12/2025 xG 1.77 – 0.72

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.