Saturday, 28/02/2026 at 13:30
Full timeDerby County 3:1 Blackburn Rovers
Goals
- 45' Hayden Carter Blackburn Rovers · 0.09 xG chance 0–1
- 55' Ben Brereton Díaz Derby County · 0.16 xG chance 1–1
- 74' Matt Clarke Derby County · 0.48 xG chance 2–1
- 82' Rhian Brewster Derby County · 0.23 xG chance 3–1
The shots behind it
- Shots
- 14
- 11
- On target
- 6
- 3
- Inside the box
- 8
- 9
- xG per shot
- 0.11
- 0.06
- Open play xG
- 0.88
- 0.23
- Set-piece xG
- 0.62
- 0.43
- Penalties
- —
- —
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total
The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.47 for Derby County and 0.65 for Blackburn Rovers.
Shot map
Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.
All shots
25 shots · 2.16 xG
Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.
- Derby County
- Blackburn Rovers
- Filled = goal
- Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)
Recent form
1.34 xG created 0.89 xGA
- D 0.29 created, 0.97 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
- W 2.00 created, 0.23 conceded against Bristol City
- L 1.03 created, 1.27 conceded against Ipswich Town
- W 0.80 created, 1.00 conceded against Swansea City
- L 0.65 created, 1.29 conceded against Watford
- L 3.27 created, 0.58 conceded against Hull City
1.07 xG created 1.00 xGA
- L 0.50 created, 1.47 conceded against Hull City
- W 0.90 created, 0.34 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
- L 0.26 created, 1.57 conceded against Norwich City
- W 1.52 created, 1.72 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
- W 1.06 created, 0.12 conceded against Preston North End
- L 2.20 created, 0.78 conceded against Bristol City
xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result
Head to head
Model details
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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.
Limitations
The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.