xgEdge

Saturday, 07/02/2026 at 16:00

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Match report · Championship

Preston North End 1:0 Portsmouth

Preston North End Home 0.58 xG · 7 shots
Portsmouth Away 1.23 xG · 12 shots
10 The result went against the chances

Goals

  1. 40' Alfie Devine Preston North End · 0.04 xG chance 1–0

The shots behind it

Preston North End Portsmouth
Shots
7
12
On target
3
4
Inside the box
5
9
xG per shot
0.08
0.10
Open play xG
0.57
0.24
Set-piece xG
0.00
0.98
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.56 for Preston North End and 1.23 for Portsmouth.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Portsmouth · Millenic Alli · 78' · No goal · 4 m · 0.38 xG Preston North End · Andrew Moran · 90' · No goal · 16 m · 0.35 xG Portsmouth · Millenic Alli · 78' · No goal · 5 m · 0.24 xG Portsmouth · Makenzie Kirk · 89' · No goal · 4 m · 0.15 xG Portsmouth · Jacob Brown · 3' · No goal · 12 m · 0.10 xG Portsmouth · Connor Ogilvie · 90' · No goal · 7 m · 0.10 xG Portsmouth · Ebou Adams · 78' · No goal · 6 m · 0.07 xG Portsmouth · Adrian Segečić · 68' · No goal · 18 m · 0.07 xG Preston North End · Lewis Dobbin · 54' · No goal · 9 m · 0.05 xG Preston North End · Alfie Devine · 38' · No goal · 16 m · 0.04 xG Preston North End · Lewis Dobbin · 39' · No goal · 12 m · 0.04 xG Preston North End · Alfie Devine · 40' · Goal · 12 m · 0.04 xG Preston North End · Lewis Dobbin · 35' · No goal · 22 m · 0.03 xG Portsmouth · Gustavo Caballero · 90' · No goal · 23 m · 0.03 xG Portsmouth · Zak Swanson · 3' · No goal · 15 m · 0.03 xG Preston North End · Alfie Devine · 19' · No goal · 24 m · 0.02 xG Portsmouth · Andre Dozzell · 42' · No goal · 22 m · 0.02 xG Portsmouth · Ebou Adams · 21' · No goal · 7 m · 0.02 xG Portsmouth · Adrian Segečić · 3' · No goal · 16 m · 0.02 xG

All shots

19 shots · 1.79 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Preston North End
  • Portsmouth
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Preston North End

1.06 xG created 1.52 xGA

  • W 1.91 created, 0.21 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
  • W 1.08 created, 0.42 conceded against Bristol City
  • L 0.99 created, 1.76 conceded against Derby County
  • L 0.90 created, 1.67 conceded against Hull City
  • L 0.40 created, 2.83 conceded against Middlesbrough
  • D 1.06 created, 2.23 conceded against Ipswich Town
Portsmouth

1.26 xG created 0.82 xGA

  • W 0.74 created, 1.01 conceded against Charlton Athletic
  • L 0.42 created, 1.51 conceded against Bristol City
  • W 1.65 created, 0.33 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
  • D 0.62 created, 0.80 conceded against Watford
  • D 1.66 created, 1.11 conceded against Southampton
  • W 2.47 created, 0.14 conceded against West Bromwich Albion

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Preston North End: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.