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Saturday, 21/02/2026 at 16:00

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Match report · Championship

Millwall 1:3 Portsmouth

Millwall Home 0.42 xG · 6 shots
Portsmouth Away 1.22 xG · 15 shots
13 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 46' Gustavo Caballero Portsmouth · 0.21 xG chance 0–1
  2. 55' John Swift Portsmouth · 0.21 xG chance 0–2
  3. 64' Casper De Norre Millwall · 0.06 xG chance 1–2
  4. 67' Marlon Pack Portsmouth · 0.08 xG chance 1–3

The shots behind it

Millwall Portsmouth
Shots
6
15
On target
3
7
Inside the box
4
10
xG per shot
0.07
0.08
Open play xG
0.33
0.80
Set-piece xG
0.09
0.44
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.25 for Portsmouth.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Portsmouth · Gustavo Caballero · 46' · Goal · 3 m · 0.21 xG Portsmouth · John Swift · 55' · Goal · 10 m · 0.21 xG Portsmouth · Gustavo Caballero · 46' · No goal · 15 m · 0.16 xG Millwall · Jake Cooper · 41' · No goal · 6 m · 0.15 xG Portsmouth · Ebou Adams · 7' · No goal · 5 m · 0.14 xG Portsmouth · Ebou Adams · 67' · No goal · 7 m · 0.12 xG Millwall · Alfie Doughty · 18' · No goal · 22 m · 0.09 xG Portsmouth · Marlon Pack · 67' · Goal · 11 m · 0.08 xG Portsmouth · Millenic Alli · 45' · No goal · 7 m · 0.07 xG Millwall · Casper De Norre · 64' · Goal · 12 m · 0.06 xG Millwall · Femi Azeez · 15' · No goal · 8 m · 0.05 xG Portsmouth · Ebou Adams · 8' · No goal · 12 m · 0.04 xG Millwall · Zak Sturge · 90' · No goal · 15 m · 0.04 xG Portsmouth · John Swift · 22' · No goal · 28 m · 0.04 xG Portsmouth · Ebou Adams · 67' · No goal · 7 m · 0.04 xG Millwall · Tom Watson · 5' · No goal · 22 m · 0.03 xG Portsmouth · John Swift · 45' · No goal · 20 m · 0.03 xG Portsmouth · Colby Bishop · 42' · No goal · 16 m · 0.03 xG Portsmouth · Adrian Segečić · 78' · No goal · 21 m · 0.03 xG Portsmouth · Gustavo Caballero · 6' · No goal · 24 m · 0.03 xG Portsmouth · Terry Devlin · 8' · No goal · 27 m · 0.02 xG

All shots

21 shots · 1.66 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Millwall
  • Portsmouth
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Millwall

1.72 xG created 1.14 xGA

  • W 1.57 created, 0.54 conceded against Watford
  • L 0.98 created, 2.51 conceded against Coventry City
  • W 3.91 created, 0.14 conceded against Charlton Athletic
  • D 1.38 created, 1.22 conceded against Sheffield United
  • W 0.58 created, 1.53 conceded against Wrexham
  • W 1.92 created, 0.92 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
Portsmouth

1.60 xG created 0.74 xGA

  • D 0.62 created, 0.80 conceded against Watford
  • D 1.66 created, 1.11 conceded against Southampton
  • W 2.47 created, 0.14 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
  • L 1.23 created, 0.58 conceded against Preston North End
  • L 2.50 created, 0.99 conceded against Sheffield United
  • W 1.14 created, 0.80 conceded against Charlton Athletic

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Millwall: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.