xgEdge

Thursday, 01/01/2026 at 13:30

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Match report · Championship

Blackburn Rovers 0:2 Wrexham

Blackburn Rovers Home 0.66 xG · 12 shots
Wrexham Away 0.67 xG · 7 shots
02 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

  1. 11' Sam Smith Wrexham · 0.08 xG chance 0–1
  2. 38' Oliver Rathbone Wrexham · 0.05 xG chance 0–2

The shots behind it

Blackburn Rovers Wrexham
Shots
12
7
On target
1
3
Inside the box
8
6
xG per shot
0.05
0.10
Open play xG
0.45
0.62
Set-piece xG
0.20
0.06
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.62 for Blackburn Rovers and 0.67 for Wrexham.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Wrexham · Lewis O'Brien · 57' · No goal · 15 m · 0.23 xG Wrexham · Sam Smith · 21' · No goal · 4 m · 0.19 xG Blackburn Rovers · Yuki Ohashi · 85' · No goal · 6 m · 0.11 xG Wrexham · Oliver Rathbone · 13' · No goal · 12 m · 0.09 xG Wrexham · Sam Smith · 11' · Goal · 17 m · 0.08 xG Blackburn Rovers · Todd Cantwell · 27' · No goal · 20 m · 0.08 xG Blackburn Rovers · Sean McLoughlin · 45' · No goal · 13 m · 0.07 xG Blackburn Rovers · Yuki Ohashi · 10' · No goal · 14 m · 0.07 xG Blackburn Rovers · Sondre Tronstad · 40' · No goal · 16 m · 0.05 xG Blackburn Rovers · Moussa Baradji · 86' · No goal · 10 m · 0.05 xG Blackburn Rovers · Moussa Baradji · 56' · No goal · 13 m · 0.05 xG Wrexham · Oliver Rathbone · 38' · Goal · 9 m · 0.05 xG Blackburn Rovers · Yuki Ohashi · 66' · No goal · 7 m · 0.04 xG Blackburn Rovers · Todd Cantwell · 27' · No goal · 19 m · 0.04 xG Wrexham · Ryan Longman · 3' · No goal · 23 m · 0.04 xG Blackburn Rovers · Matthew Litherland · 6' · No goal · 16 m · 0.03 xG Blackburn Rovers · Moussa Baradji · 65' · No goal · 27 m · 0.03 xG Blackburn Rovers · Moussa Baradji · 26' · No goal · 23 m · 0.02 xG Wrexham · Dan Scarr · 38' · No goal · 14 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

19 shots · 1.33 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Blackburn Rovers
  • Wrexham
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Blackburn Rovers

1.46 xG created 0.73 xGA

  • D 1.40 created, 0.51 conceded against Ipswich Town
  • D 2.28 created, 0.29 conceded against Oxford United
  • L 0.72 created, 1.77 conceded against Portsmouth
  • W 2.35 created, 0.59 conceded against Millwall
  • D 1.23 created, 0.75 conceded against Middlesbrough
  • D 0.81 created, 0.47 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
Wrexham

1.52 xG created 1.71 xGA

  • D 1.40 created, 1.43 conceded against Preston North End
  • L 1.32 created, 2.93 conceded against Hull City
  • D 1.20 created, 0.83 conceded against Watford
  • L 0.35 created, 2.12 conceded against Swansea City
  • W 2.29 created, 1.89 conceded against Sheffield United
  • W 2.53 created, 1.07 conceded against Preston North End

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Blackburn Rovers: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.