xgEdge

Saturday, 29/11/2025 at 16:00

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Match report · Championship

Wrexham 1:1 Blackburn Rovers

Wrexham Home 1.65 xG · 16 shots
Blackburn Rovers Away 0.94 xG · 12 shots
11 Wrexham had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

  1. 13' Andri Guðjohnsen Blackburn Rovers · 0.16 xG chance 0–1
  2. 90' Max Cleworth Wrexham · 0.42 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Wrexham Blackburn Rovers
Shots
16
12
On target
2
3
Inside the box
12
8
xG per shot
0.10
0.08
Open play xG
0.48
0.90
Set-piece xG
1.12
0.04
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.65 for Wrexham.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Wrexham · Max Cleworth · 90' · Goal · 2 m · 0.42 xG Wrexham · Max Cleworth · 84' · No goal · 5 m · 0.33 xG Blackburn Rovers · Andri Guðjohnsen · 57' · No goal · 7 m · 0.21 xG Blackburn Rovers · Andri Guðjohnsen · 13' · Goal · 8 m · 0.16 xG Wrexham · Nathan Broadhead · 90' · No goal · 11 m · 0.13 xG Wrexham · Nathan Broadhead · 86' · No goal · 10 m · 0.12 xG Wrexham · James McClean · 24' · No goal · 6 m · 0.12 xG Wrexham · Kieffer Moore · 84' · No goal · 6 m · 0.11 xG Blackburn Rovers · Yuki Ohashi · 57' · No goal · 7 m · 0.11 xG Blackburn Rovers · Yuki Ohashi · 18' · No goal · 14 m · 0.11 xG Blackburn Rovers · Ryoya Morishita · 30' · No goal · 16 m · 0.10 xG Wrexham · Kieffer Moore · 63' · No goal · 8 m · 0.08 xG Blackburn Rovers · Ryan Hedges · 87' · No goal · 13 m · 0.08 xG Wrexham · Kieffer Moore · 69' · No goal · 3 m · 0.05 xG Blackburn Rovers · Yuki Ohashi · 45' · No goal · 14 m · 0.05 xG Wrexham · Josh Windass · 69' · No goal · 19 m · 0.05 xG Blackburn Rovers · Ryoya Morishita · 28' · No goal · 11 m · 0.04 xG Blackburn Rovers · Taylor Gardner-Hickman · 53' · No goal · 21 m · 0.04 xG Wrexham · Nathan Broadhead · 79' · No goal · 18 m · 0.04 xG Wrexham · Nathan Broadhead · 74' · No goal · 15 m · 0.03 xG Wrexham · Nathan Broadhead · 90' · No goal · 21 m · 0.03 xG Wrexham · Ryan Longman · 74' · No goal · 10 m · 0.03 xG Wrexham · George Dobson · 80' · No goal · 14 m · 0.03 xG Wrexham · Josh Windass · 82' · No goal · 26 m · 0.03 xG Blackburn Rovers · Ryan Hedges · 47' · No goal · 18 m · 0.02 xG Blackburn Rovers · Taylor Gardner-Hickman · 32' · No goal · 24 m · 0.02 xG Wrexham · Kieffer Moore · 60' · No goal · 4 m · 0.01 xG Blackburn Rovers · Adam Forshaw · 34' · No goal · 26 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

28 shots · 2.54 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Wrexham
  • Blackburn Rovers
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Wrexham

1.08 xG created 1.17 xGA

  • D 0.68 created, 0.77 conceded against Middlesbrough
  • W 1.59 created, 1.38 conceded against Coventry City
  • D 0.73 created, 1.49 conceded against Portsmouth
  • W 2.46 created, 0.81 conceded against Charlton Athletic
  • D 0.04 created, 1.69 conceded against Ipswich Town
  • W 0.99 created, 0.90 conceded against Bristol City
Blackburn Rovers

1.66 xG created 1.17 xGA

  • W 3.20 created, 1.67 conceded against Southampton
  • W 1.91 created, 1.23 conceded against Leicester City
  • W 1.66 created, 0.52 conceded against Bristol City
  • L 1.09 created, 0.95 conceded against Derby County
  • W 1.23 created, 1.70 conceded against Preston North End
  • L 0.86 created, 0.92 conceded against Queens Park Rangers

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.