Wrexham 2:2 Watford: xG & match report · Championship

Saturday, 13/12/2025 at 16:00

Full time

Match report · Championship

Wrexham Home 1.20 xG · 16 shots

Watford Away 0.83 xG · 12 shots

22 Wrexham had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

21' Josh Windass Wrexham · 0.15 xG chance 1–0
30' Mamadou Doumbia Watford · 0.05 xG chance 1–1
42' Othmane Maamma Watford · 0.22 xG chance 1–2
90' Oliver Rathbone Wrexham · 0.03 xG chance 2–2

The shots behind it

Wrexham Watford

Shots: 16; 12
On target: 3; 3
Inside the box: 12; 8
xG per shot: 0.07; 0.07
Open play xG: 0.54; 0.71
Set-piece xG: 0.65; 0.17
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.20 for Wrexham and 0.89 for Watford.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

28 shots · 2.07 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Wrexham
Watford
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Wrexham

1.31 xG created 1.45 xGA

W 2.46 created, 0.81 conceded against Charlton Athletic
D 0.04 created, 1.69 conceded against Ipswich Town
W 0.99 created, 0.90 conceded against Bristol City
D 1.65 created, 0.94 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
D 1.40 created, 1.43 conceded against Preston North End
L 1.32 created, 2.93 conceded against Hull City

Watford

1.61 xG created 1.00 xGA

D 1.39 created, 0.77 conceded against Bristol City
W 1.47 created, 0.62 conceded against Derby County
D 1.70 created, 0.98 conceded against Preston North End
L 1.03 created, 1.26 conceded against Birmingham City
W 1.28 created, 1.88 conceded against Norwich City
D 2.78 created, 0.48 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.