xgEdge

Monday, 29/12/2025 at 20:45

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Match report · Championship

Wrexham 2:1 Preston North End

Wrexham Home 2.53 xG · 14 shots
Preston North End Away 1.07 xG · 13 shots
21 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 39' Nathan Broadhead Wrexham · 0.19 xG chance 1–0
  2. 77' Oliver Rathbone Wrexham · 0.53 xG chance 2–0
  3. 84' Alfie Devine Preston North End · 0.05 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

Wrexham Preston North End
Shots
14
13
On target
6
4
Inside the box
12
9
xG per shot
0.18
0.08
Open play xG
1.68
0.73
Set-piece xG
0.84
0.35
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.54 for Wrexham and 1.07 for Preston North End.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Wrexham · Oliver Rathbone · 77' · Goal · 8 m · 0.53 xG Wrexham · Sam Smith · 74' · No goal · 5 m · 0.40 xG Wrexham · Nathan Broadhead · 83' · No goal · 3 m · 0.39 xG Wrexham · Callum Doyle · 83' · No goal · 5 m · 0.25 xG Preston North End · Liam Lindsay · 30' · No goal · 7 m · 0.25 xG Preston North End · Thierry Small · 53' · No goal · 15 m · 0.22 xG Wrexham · Nathan Broadhead · 39' · Goal · 9 m · 0.19 xG Preston North End · Michael Smith · 66' · No goal · 6 m · 0.17 xG Wrexham · Nathan Broadhead · 28' · No goal · 13 m · 0.14 xG Wrexham · Jay Rodriguez · 88' · No goal · 15 m · 0.13 xG Wrexham · Callum Doyle · 70' · No goal · 4 m · 0.11 xG Wrexham · Max Cleworth · 64' · No goal · 7 m · 0.09 xG Wrexham · Nathan Broadhead · 23' · No goal · 18 m · 0.09 xG Preston North End · Brad Potts · 10' · No goal · 9 m · 0.09 xG Preston North End · Alfie Devine · 59' · No goal · 7 m · 0.08 xG Preston North End · Alfie Devine · 41' · No goal · 13 m · 0.07 xG Wrexham · Sam Smith · 69' · No goal · 13 m · 0.07 xG Wrexham · Josh Windass · 21' · No goal · 8 m · 0.05 xG Preston North End · Alfie Devine · 84' · Goal · 20 m · 0.05 xG Wrexham · Josh Windass · 56' · No goal · 21 m · 0.04 xG Preston North End · Harrison Armstrong · 44' · No goal · 12 m · 0.03 xG Preston North End · Mads Frøkjær · 24' · No goal · 21 m · 0.03 xG Preston North End · Thierry Small · 87' · No goal · 21 m · 0.03 xG Preston North End · Alfie Devine · 35' · No goal · 26 m · 0.03 xG Preston North End · Mads Frøkjær · 6' · No goal · 13 m · 0.02 xG Preston North End · Alfie Devine · 48' · No goal · 11 m · 0.02 xG Wrexham · Kieffer Moore · 23' · No goal · 14 m · 0.02 xG

All shots

27 shots · 3.59 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Wrexham
  • Preston North End
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Wrexham

1.37 xG created 1.69 xGA

  • D 1.65 created, 0.94 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
  • D 1.40 created, 1.43 conceded against Preston North End
  • L 1.32 created, 2.93 conceded against Hull City
  • D 1.20 created, 0.83 conceded against Watford
  • L 0.35 created, 2.12 conceded against Swansea City
  • W 2.29 created, 1.89 conceded against Sheffield United
Preston North End

0.83 xG created 1.45 xGA

  • W 0.94 created, 2.33 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
  • D 1.43 created, 1.40 conceded against Wrexham
  • D 0.29 created, 1.95 conceded against Coventry City
  • W 0.61 created, 1.57 conceded against Oxford United
  • D 1.14 created, 0.40 conceded against Norwich City
  • D 0.59 created, 1.06 conceded against Stoke City

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Wrexham: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.