Bristol City 2:2 Leicester City: xG & match report · Championship

Wednesday, 10/12/2025 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Championship

Bristol City Home 2.42 xG · 21 shots

Leicester City Away 1.69 xG · 12 shots

22 Bristol City had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

17' Jordan Ayew (pen.) Leicester City · 0.82 xG chance 0–1
45' Bobby De Cordova-Reid Leicester City · 0.37 xG chance 0–2
46' Mark Sykes Bristol City · 0.10 xG chance 1–2
83' Emil Riis Jacobsen Bristol City · 0.21 xG chance 2–2

The shots behind it

Bristol City Leicester City

Shots: 21; 12
On target: 11; 5
Inside the box: 16; 8
xG per shot: 0.12; 0.14
Open play xG: 0.99; 0.76
Set-piece xG: 1.44; 0.11
Penalties: 0; 1

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.42 for Bristol City and 0.88 for Leicester City.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

33 shots · 4.12 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Bristol City
Leicester City
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Bristol City

1.21 xG created 1.24 xGA

L 0.52 created, 1.66 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
D 0.77 created, 1.39 conceded against Watford
W 2.03 created, 0.94 conceded against Swansea City
L 0.90 created, 0.99 conceded against Wrexham
W 1.60 created, 1.47 conceded against Portsmouth
L 1.44 created, 0.97 conceded against Millwall

Leicester City

1.18 xG created 1.29 xGA

D 1.40 created, 1.27 conceded against Middlesbrough
W 1.59 created, 0.30 conceded against Norwich City
W 1.49 created, 1.37 conceded against Stoke City
L 0.44 created, 2.41 conceded against Southampton
L 0.98 created, 0.97 conceded against Sheffield United
W 1.20 created, 1.43 conceded against Derby County

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.