xgEdge

Saturday, 06/12/2025 at 13:30

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Match report · Championship

Derby County 1:3 Leicester City

Derby County Home 1.43 xG · 18 shots
Leicester City Away 1.20 xG · 4 shots
13 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

  1. 8' Bobby De Cordova-Reid Leicester City · 0.44 xG chance 0–1
  2. 15' Oliver Skipp Leicester City · 0.20 xG chance 0–2
  3. 31' Jordan James Leicester City · 0.55 xG chance 0–3
  4. 63' Sondre Langås Derby County · 0.26 xG chance 1–3

The shots behind it

Derby County Leicester City
Shots
18
4
On target
5
4
Inside the box
10
4
xG per shot
0.08
0.31
Open play xG
0.62
1.02
Set-piece xG
0.79
0.20
Penalties
—
—

Derby County's shots add up to 1.41 xG and Leicester City's to 1.22; the published figures are 1.43 and 1.20.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Leicester City · Jordan James · 31' · Goal · 5 m · 0.55 xG Leicester City · Bobby De Cordova-Reid · 8' · Goal · 11 m · 0.44 xG Derby County · Sondre Langås · 88' · No goal · 9 m · 0.26 xG Derby County · Sondre Langås · 63' · Goal · 7 m · 0.26 xG Leicester City · Oliver Skipp · 15' · Goal · 6 m · 0.20 xG Derby County · Andreas Weimann · 90' · No goal · 14 m · 0.15 xG Derby County · Bobby Clark · 71' · No goal · 15 m · 0.15 xG Derby County · Corey Blackett-Taylor · 81' · No goal · 11 m · 0.11 xG Derby County · Joe Ward · 33' · No goal · 12 m · 0.11 xG Derby County · Bobby Clark · 90' · No goal · 21 m · 0.05 xG Derby County · Corey Blackett-Taylor · 71' · No goal · 13 m · 0.05 xG Derby County · Bobby Clark · 70' · No goal · 15 m · 0.04 xG Derby County · Kayden Jackson · 90' · No goal · 14 m · 0.04 xG Derby County · Curtis Nelson · 90' · No goal · 11 m · 0.04 xG Derby County · Bobby Clark · 2' · No goal · 20 m · 0.03 xG Derby County · Joe Ward · 69' · No goal · 27 m · 0.03 xG Derby County · Patrick Agyemang · 34' · No goal · 21 m · 0.03 xG Leicester City · Jordan Ayew · 44' · No goal · 8 m · 0.03 xG Derby County · Bobby Clark · 90' · No goal · 20 m · 0.02 xG Derby County · Bobby Clark · 56' · No goal · 20 m · 0.02 xG Derby County · Bobby Clark · 69' · No goal · 29 m · 0.01 xG Derby County · Joe Ward · 69' · No goal · 27 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

22 shots · 2.64 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Derby County
  • Leicester City
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Derby County

1.09 xG created 1.36 xGA

  • W 2.15 created, 2.16 conceded against Sheffield United
  • W 0.84 created, 1.28 conceded against Hull City
  • W 0.95 created, 1.09 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
  • L 0.62 created, 1.47 conceded against Watford
  • W 1.05 created, 0.63 conceded against Swansea City
  • L 0.92 created, 1.53 conceded against Middlesbrough
Leicester City

1.19 xG created 1.37 xGA

  • L 1.23 created, 1.91 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
  • D 1.40 created, 1.27 conceded against Middlesbrough
  • W 1.59 created, 0.30 conceded against Norwich City
  • W 1.49 created, 1.37 conceded against Stoke City
  • L 0.44 created, 2.41 conceded against Southampton
  • L 0.98 created, 0.97 conceded against Sheffield United

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.