Watford 1:1 Bristol City: xG & match report · Championship

Friday, 07/11/2025 at 21:00

Full time

Match report · Championship

Watford Home 1.39 xG · 16 shots

Bristol City Away 0.77 xG · 10 shots

11 Watford had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

6' Marc Bola Watford · 0.23 xG chance 1–0
29' Scott Twine Bristol City · 0.05 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Watford Bristol City

Shots: 16; 10
On target: 10; 4
Inside the box: 11; 5
xG per shot: 0.08; 0.08
Open play xG: 0.64; 0.62
Set-piece xG: 0.71; 0.14
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.39 for Watford and 0.77 for Bristol City.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

26 shots · 2.11 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Watford
Bristol City
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Watford

1.47 xG created 1.28 xGA

W 2.65 created, 1.38 conceded against Oxford United
L 1.09 created, 2.11 conceded against Sheffield United
W 1.22 created, 0.63 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
L 2.61 created, 1.31 conceded against Coventry City
W 0.92 created, 0.79 conceded against Middlesbrough
D 0.35 created, 1.43 conceded against Ipswich Town

Bristol City

1.12 xG created 1.27 xGA

L 1.21 created, 0.48 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
W 2.06 created, 0.58 conceded against Norwich City
W 1.63 created, 2.20 conceded against Southampton
W 0.27 created, 0.69 conceded against Birmingham City
L 1.02 created, 2.01 conceded against Stoke City
L 0.52 created, 1.66 conceded against Blackburn Rovers

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.