xgEdge

Saturday, 22/11/2025 at 13:30

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Match report · Championship

Bristol City 3:0 Swansea City

Bristol City Home 2.03 xG · 15 shots
Swansea City Away 0.94 xG · 17 shots
30 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 4' Rob Dickie Bristol City · 0.19 xG chance 1–0
  2. 31' Emil Riis Jacobsen Bristol City · 0.12 xG chance 2–0
  3. 82' Yu Hirakawa Bristol City · 0.60 xG chance 3–0

The shots behind it

Bristol City Swansea City
Shots
15
17
On target
8
5
Inside the box
9
9
xG per shot
0.15
0.06
Open play xG
2.08
0.82
Set-piece xG
0.22
0.13
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.31 for Bristol City and 0.95 for Swansea City.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Bristol City · Yu Hirakawa · 82' · Goal · 12 m · 0.60 xG Bristol City · Sinclair Armstrong · 64' · No goal · 9 m · 0.47 xG Swansea City · Adam Idah · 27' · No goal · 10 m · 0.24 xG Bristol City · Anis Mehmeti · 2' · No goal · 14 m · 0.24 xG Bristol City · Rob Dickie · 4' · Goal · 3 m · 0.19 xG Bristol City · Sinclair Armstrong · 40' · No goal · 15 m · 0.15 xG Bristol City · Sinclair Armstrong · 30' · No goal · 10 m · 0.15 xG Bristol City · Emil Riis Jacobsen · 31' · Goal · 2 m · 0.12 xG Swansea City · Josh Key · 45' · No goal · 7 m · 0.12 xG Bristol City · Emil Riis Jacobsen · 10' · No goal · 10 m · 0.10 xG Swansea City · Liam Cullen · 42' · No goal · 14 m · 0.09 xG Swansea City · Ji-sung Eom · 55' · No goal · 10 m · 0.08 xG Bristol City · Yu Hirakawa · 86' · No goal · 22 m · 0.06 xG Swansea City · Žan Vipotnik · 90' · No goal · 19 m · 0.05 xG Swansea City · Ronald · 45' · No goal · 15 m · 0.05 xG Bristol City · Sinclair Armstrong · 76' · No goal · 23 m · 0.05 xG Swansea City · Ronald · 90' · No goal · 26 m · 0.05 xG Bristol City · Anis Mehmeti · 3' · No goal · 15 m · 0.05 xG Swansea City · Kaelan Casey · 73' · No goal · 9 m · 0.05 xG Bristol City · Emil Riis Jacobsen · 43' · No goal · 18 m · 0.04 xG Swansea City · Marko Stamenić · 47' · No goal · 11 m · 0.04 xG Swansea City · Ji-sung Eom · 29' · No goal · 25 m · 0.04 xG Bristol City · Anis Mehmeti · 60' · No goal · 18 m · 0.04 xG Bristol City · Sinclair Armstrong · 62' · No goal · 21 m · 0.03 xG Bristol City · Jason Knight · 65' · No goal · 25 m · 0.03 xG Swansea City · Žan Vipotnik · 80' · No goal · 12 m · 0.03 xG Swansea City · Liam Cullen · 16' · No goal · 24 m · 0.03 xG Swansea City · Liam Cullen · 58' · No goal · 22 m · 0.03 xG Swansea City · Ji-sung Eom · 15' · No goal · 12 m · 0.02 xG Swansea City · Ethan Galbraith · 55' · No goal · 25 m · 0.02 xG Swansea City · Ethan Galbraith · 56' · No goal · 23 m · 0.01 xG Swansea City · Ethan Galbraith · 48' · No goal · 27 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

32 shots · 3.25 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Bristol City
  • Swansea City
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Bristol City

1.05 xG created 1.42 xGA

  • W 2.06 created, 0.58 conceded against Norwich City
  • W 1.63 created, 2.20 conceded against Southampton
  • W 0.27 created, 0.69 conceded against Birmingham City
  • L 1.02 created, 2.01 conceded against Stoke City
  • L 0.52 created, 1.66 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
  • D 0.77 created, 1.39 conceded against Watford
Swansea City

0.48 xG created 1.56 xGA

  • D 0.20 created, 3.10 conceded against Southampton
  • L 0.40 created, 2.05 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
  • W 0.43 created, 1.17 conceded against Norwich City
  • D 0.71 created, 0.93 conceded against Charlton Athletic
  • L 0.69 created, 0.71 conceded against Preston North End
  • L 0.43 created, 1.37 conceded against Ipswich Town

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.