xgEdge

Saturday, 04/10/2025 at 16:00

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Match report · Championship

Bristol City 1:2 Queens Park Rangers

Bristol City Home 1.21 xG · 11 shots
Queens Park Rangers Away 0.48 xG · 8 shots
12 The result went against the chances

Goals

  1. 32' Emil Riis Jacobsen Bristol City · 0.32 xG chance 1–0
  2. 66' Richard Kone Queens Park Rangers · 0.04 xG chance 1–1
  3. 84' Paul Smyth Queens Park Rangers · 0.22 xG chance 1–2

The shots behind it

Bristol City Queens Park Rangers
Shots
11
8
On target
1
2
Inside the box
7
8
xG per shot
0.11
0.06
Open play xG
0.99
0.46
Set-piece xG
0.19
0.02
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.21 for Bristol City.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Bristol City · Scott Twine · 15' · No goal · 7 m · 0.51 xG Bristol City · Emil Riis Jacobsen · 32' · Goal · 5 m · 0.32 xG Queens Park Rangers · Paul Smyth · 84' · Goal · 7 m · 0.22 xG Bristol City · Neto Borges · 89' · No goal · 20 m · 0.09 xG Queens Park Rangers · Richard Kone · 71' · No goal · 14 m · 0.08 xG Bristol City · Anis Mehmeti · 73' · No goal · 15 m · 0.05 xG Queens Park Rangers · Rumarn Burrell · 48' · No goal · 15 m · 0.04 xG Queens Park Rangers · Richard Kone · 66' · Goal · 9 m · 0.04 xG Bristol City · Ross McCrorie · 75' · No goal · 9 m · 0.04 xG Bristol City · Ross McCrorie · 82' · No goal · 11 m · 0.04 xG Queens Park Rangers · Koki Saito · 4' · No goal · 13 m · 0.04 xG Bristol City · Yu Hirakawa · 90' · No goal · 5 m · 0.03 xG Queens Park Rangers · Richard Kone · 71' · No goal · 15 m · 0.03 xG Bristol City · Adam Randell · 53' · No goal · 19 m · 0.03 xG Bristol City · Yu Hirakawa · 87' · No goal · 23 m · 0.03 xG Bristol City · Zak Vyner · 44' · No goal · 29 m · 0.02 xG Queens Park Rangers · Karamoko Dembélé · 38' · No goal · 12 m · 0.02 xG Bristol City · Robert Atkinson · 75' · No goal · 5 m · 0.02 xG Queens Park Rangers · Koki Saito · 25' · No goal · 9 m · 0.02 xG

All shots

19 shots · 1.67 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Bristol City
  • Queens Park Rangers
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Bristol City

1.75 xG created 1.24 xGA

  • D 0.76 created, 0.47 conceded against Derby County
  • W 3.49 created, 2.60 conceded against Hull City
  • W 1.39 created, 0.83 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
  • L 1.18 created, 1.72 conceded against Oxford United
  • D 2.32 created, 0.42 conceded against Preston North End
  • D 1.38 created, 1.38 conceded against Ipswich Town
Queens Park Rangers

1.30 xG created 1.17 xGA

  • L 0.61 created, 1.27 conceded against Coventry City
  • W 1.43 created, 0.84 conceded against Charlton Athletic
  • W 1.43 created, 2.02 conceded against Wrexham
  • W 1.33 created, 1.09 conceded against Stoke City
  • D 2.17 created, 1.41 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
  • D 0.80 created, 0.37 conceded against Oxford United

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.