xgEdge

Sunday, 21/09/2025 at 16:00

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Match report · Championship

Bristol City 1:3 Oxford United

Bristol City Home 1.18 xG · 12 shots
Oxford United Away 1.72 xG · 18 shots
13 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 19' Nik Prelec Oxford United · 0.53 xG chance 0–1
  2. 45' Przemysław Płacheta Oxford United · 0.03 xG chance 0–2
  3. 53' Anis Mehmeti Bristol City · 0.04 xG chance 1–2
  4. 90' Greg Leigh Oxford United · 0.06 xG chance 1–3

The shots behind it

Bristol City Oxford United
Shots
12
18
On target
2
6
Inside the box
8
13
xG per shot
0.09
0.10
Open play xG
0.56
0.81
Set-piece xG
0.53
0.94
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.09 for Bristol City and 1.72 for Oxford United.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Oxford United · Nik Prelec · 19' · Goal · 5 m · 0.53 xG Oxford United · Will Vaulks · 73' · No goal · 4 m · 0.29 xG Oxford United · Will Lankshear · 73' · No goal · 7 m · 0.24 xG Bristol City · Rob Dickie · 27' · No goal · 4 m · 0.22 xG Bristol City · Ross McCrorie · 13' · No goal · 3 m · 0.22 xG Bristol City · Anis Mehmeti · 26' · No goal · 9 m · 0.17 xG Oxford United · Will Lankshear · 22' · No goal · 9 m · 0.14 xG Bristol City · Emil Riis Jacobsen · 43' · No goal · 11 m · 0.10 xG Bristol City · Adam Randell · 66' · No goal · 11 m · 0.08 xG Bristol City · Emil Riis Jacobsen · 17' · No goal · 15 m · 0.08 xG Oxford United · Siriki Dembélé · 73' · No goal · 8 m · 0.08 xG Oxford United · Przemysław Płacheta · 5' · No goal · 5 m · 0.07 xG Oxford United · Sam Long · 5' · No goal · 9 m · 0.07 xG Bristol City · Fally Mayulu · 90' · No goal · 7 m · 0.07 xG Oxford United · Greg Leigh · 90' · Goal · 9 m · 0.06 xG Bristol City · Adam Randell · 49' · No goal · 21 m · 0.06 xG Oxford United · Will Lankshear · 49' · No goal · 18 m · 0.05 xG Oxford United · Will Lankshear · 29' · No goal · 13 m · 0.05 xG Bristol City · Scott Twine · 86' · No goal · 28 m · 0.04 xG Bristol City · Anis Mehmeti · 53' · Goal · 24 m · 0.04 xG Oxford United · Przemysław Płacheta · 45' · Goal · 22 m · 0.03 xG Oxford United · Sam Long · 74' · No goal · 10 m · 0.03 xG Oxford United · Michał Helik · 51' · No goal · 10 m · 0.03 xG Oxford United · Przemysław Płacheta · 45' · No goal · 4 m · 0.03 xG Oxford United · Stanley Mills · 73' · No goal · 20 m · 0.02 xG Bristol City · Anis Mehmeti · 46' · No goal · 23 m · 0.02 xG Bristol City · Rob Dickie · 78' · No goal · 13 m · 0.02 xG Oxford United · Sam Long · 51' · No goal · 12 m · 0.02 xG Oxford United · Sam Long · 8' · No goal · 26 m · 0.02 xG Oxford United · Cameron Brannagan · 78' · No goal · 25 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

30 shots · 2.85 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Bristol City
  • Oxford United
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Bristol City

1.53 xG created 1.43 xGA

  • W 1.30 created, 2.30 conceded against Sheffield United
  • D 0.73 created, 0.96 conceded against Charlton Athletic
  • D 0.76 created, 0.47 conceded against Derby County
  • W 3.49 created, 2.60 conceded against Hull City
  • W 1.39 created, 0.83 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
Oxford United

1.18 xG created 1.47 xGA

  • L 1.37 created, 1.21 conceded against Portsmouth
  • L 1.02 created, 1.91 conceded against Hull City
  • L 0.38 created, 1.65 conceded against Birmingham City
  • D 1.04 created, 1.74 conceded against Coventry City
  • D 2.10 created, 0.84 conceded against Leicester City

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.